It's an amazing post. Just fucking completely wrong on every level and accurately captures everything wrong with discourse on this site, where people who don't know anything about anything have strong opinions over things they are too incurious to even understand at the most basic level.


but they all go to the same port anyway. GET/PUT/POST all processed by the same TCP listener. if you **really** wanted different endpoints for each operation you’d put them on different ports

Narrator: and that’s how microservices were born


OpenAI's o3: Over-optimization is back and weirder than ever
1. RL for control: happens because our environments are brittle and tasks are unrealistic.
2. RLHF:  happens because our reward functions suck.
3. RLVR: happens and makes our models super effective and weird as f.
buff.ly/W9vcF9S


How much AI compute exists globally? How rapidly is it growing?

We analyzed NVIDIA's GPU shipments to answer these questions, and find that the installed computing power of NVIDIA chips has doubled every 10 months on average, since 2019.


very bullish on character training exploding as an area of academic research by Q12026. Good time now to get early seminal papers in, kind of like RewardBench and reward models last year.


big file with some of the more important things ai research folks shorthand at each other

half of them are primarily transmitted as informal lore or via secondary sources so i stuffed them into one markdown file

if anyone has suggestions for stuff i've missed lmk

github.com/segyges/idea...


i'm describing how most people that I know who use prediction markets use it. They see something in the news that is heavily biased/politicized, they go to the prediction market, they see which way it's leaning, if it's unexpected they comment with what information they think people are missing and if that is a genuinely novel piece of information it changes the market


IMO this is the killer app. I do not want to wear a camera around my neck, but I absolutely do want a model that can see my file history and remind me what the next step was going to be in that project when I was interrupted 7 weeks ago. Extra points if it can gently remind me at 8:30 am during my first cup of tea. Executive-function-as-a-service.


what if prediction markets were more parasocial


i just realized after looking at your bio (i replied without paying much attention) that it very well could have been you who posted the video, and that you had a very different intention with that question...


Fortunately, sharks only predate the North Star in one of the word's senses. bsky.app/profile/moul...


I wonder if this has to do with avoiding "friendly fraud" where people forgot they ordered something and dispute it on their CrC bill. See patio11's most recent podcast ep.


People love to mock the AI company's revenue forecasts, but they're really more supply-limited than people think. Demand is crazy. Their forecasts are closer to NVIDIA than software companies of the past. AI companies are really going to keep making a ton more revenue. Strap in.


rough conservation of social graph "baggage"


right, if you slow down and control the learning rate, it starts to become feasible


The decisions to be made about learning in the 2030s will be things like: How do we build models that reflect new ideas or embrace conflicting perspectives? What interactive personas work best for leading students through a subject? &c.

If we outsource that, we've outsourced the whole business. Your point about self-disruption via our own AI is potentially valid.

If we become model-builders that def changes the nature of the business, and if we have to collaborate on open-source models then those models are not differentiating *between* universities.

But we're still in the learning biz.


favorite quote: "An attempt to introduce a female version of the sport—ferret busting, in which female contestants introduced ferrets down their blouses—proved unsuccessful." Similar in vibe: Noodling¹

"Noodling is fishing for catfish using one's bare hands or feet, and is practiced primarily in the southern United States. The noodler places their hand or foot inside a discovered catfish hole in order to catch the fish."

¹: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Noodling


if the goal of the invasion is simply to slow American AI development by reducing the supply of cutting edge chips (and bagging the Taiwanese semi engineers) this wouldn't help


anyone started a prediction thread? what is the fallout from today? (hint, register both sides then delete the wrong one just before the resolution) a prediction


off topic - anyone read transformer-circuits.pub/2024/model-d...?
what are the vibes?


Tay was in 2016, I believe it was an RNN, but I actually haven't been able to find a lot of information about how it worked. Same with Google Duplex, which was an RNN with an okay TTS system that introduced pauses in conversation. I'm not sure they count as much because RNNs suck at parallelization, they're expensive to train, and talking to them never achieved the same kind of lifelike experience that transformers had. (At least until recently with RWKV)


yes I think this is it, the root cause is "it is evil to profit from tragedy". This is why I keep bringing up insurance, I think people see it with the same lens.


Taiwan will be littered with these in unsuspecting containers. or at least it should be.


We got a lot of amazing model releases in the last couple months and somehow the jump to Gemini 2.5 Pro outshines them!

Reflecting on Claude 3.7 DeepSeek, Grok 3, GPT 4.5, and the opportunity it sets up for Google’s far more exciting AI future. Also Gemma deserves a shoutout, kind of a missed opportunity as another great thing in my article.


we should always criticize misinformation & evil regardless of who is pushing it. We have FAR more influence on our own people than outsiders


Initial vibes -- Claude search much harder to use than ChatGPT :/
Is it a skill issue?


honestly i am really surprised u michigan and u texas made the cut


Have fun at Qwen3 ̶l̶l̶a̶m̶a̶ Con tomorrow!


"assassination waymo". just like Light and or L drew it up." then the chain of thought sort of paused and a new one emerged that said "I should take a walk outside". I 'held' it in my mind's 'hands', looking at it anyway we have plenty of real life name and face posters walking around as human canaries to show that bad things don't actually happen no matter what Death Note says


It's not just the people - it's also their proportion of posts on bsky


Interesting, that makes sense. I guess the question is whether you think risk-taking will increase or decrease your odds


cc'ing @croissanthology.com on this as well


if you ever tried using libreoffice and GIMP over Word and Photoshop, you will understand the pain of purity, and why the modal user was not, maybe will never, be ready to decentralize fully

why mastodon never put up a convincing fight against tumblr/twitter

why irc was abandoned for discord


A lot of people vastly underestimate the amount of companies that cannot use Qwen and DeepSeek open models because they come from China. It's a common thing and makes the adoption of open models significantly slowed across enterprises (and mostly to Llama/Gemma). Likely contributes motivation to OpenAI to enter -- the market is more available for them than it may seem at first glance.


i wish i could more clearly articulate my working mental model regarding AI. i’m trying, haven’t gotten there yet


A realistic stoic head with a samurai topknot stands in two legs in front of an ad for ice cream.


doesn't seem to track with Tesla stocks tanking today


This doesn't really help comics become more popular, you don't even know where to start, and the people adapting comic characters care more about putting "their vision" than about adapting any actual stories from them.


90% good and 90% incompetent My guess is that people's opinions on this will be negatively correlated, since it is hard to believe that people are both good and competent for the problem of evil type reasons


that was a good tweet @godoglyness.bsky.social >:|


Extra points if it can gently remind me at 8:30 am during my first cup of tea. Executive-function-as-a-service.


imagine literally caring about the hydro-dam along the Rhine. lol. lmao even


how much cool ranch flavor can geneticists get into avocados?


that Anthropic monorepo got to be the most documented code in history


they hate your job "or any mention of the concept of how computers work now in basically any context". if there's a market up somewhere I'll bet against it. it = bsky having any meaningful replacement of twitter as 'center of gravity for ML/AI tweeting' in 1 year


The nanny state is making everyone use Claude in their editor


and then in the light of the above points complete ignorance of factual and policy detail as well as absence of alternative practical ideas rather than "the billionaires made me do it [nothing] [state w progressive majority for 50 years]" then looks very bad


This is one important message I took from Kevin’s book (“Innate”) — just because heritability isn’t 100% doesn’t imply that the rest is environmental.


woah (I also came to the US ~a decade ago also from "third world". I have been very politically illiterate until ~2 years ago. I think I see what you mean! especially re what it might have looked like back then vs now)


Maybe. I agree that Google and others were too slow, but I still think that someone else would have seen the value of transformers. After all, Google invented them and they also worked on early things like BERT.


have you been able to read the linked paper here yet? related thesis henryfarrell.net/large-ai-mod...


this is what car commercials sound like to me Brotendo!


Good Youtube channel: The Sheafification of g

www.youtube.com/@Sheafificat... Category theory brainrot


The 2-simplex (the triangle) is the set of probability distributions on *two* different propositions. And so on: the n-simplex is the set of probability distributions on n propositions. Now let's think about utility functions: A utility function simply says "ah yes, if you have a good thing, then having *higher probability* of that good thing is better." Not just that: It says how much better a n% higher probability of a world A is compared to a world B.


[matrix voice] we're in I wonder why they chose to make that separate steps on the UI


it might be a statistical artifact due to small samples, notably! i don't think it is because it's happened several times bsky.app/profile/aiun...


the good guys really need better marketing


Is this an April Fool's joke? Turns out taking $ is worth more than winning some sort of moral victory? Honestly I'm lost. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/29/b...


The reason recent RLVR papers show mostly formatting and not learning new skills is just because no one has scaled up enough. If RL compute is <.1% of overall compute, ofc not much changes. I bet o3 is closer to 5% of total compute. 10-25% i bet the models keep feeling even different than o3.


It's so funny he must repeat it until someone tells him it's funny


japan's leadership in the global weirdness export market remains unparalleled


And I really believe that technological and scientific negativity will cause the downfall of many countries that are powerful today.


[me turning on my computer in 5 years] the norvid_studies_moksha_mind uplifted from a scrape of your tweets wrote you 100,000,000 messages last night. care to view them?

> show me sequence "cf thebes cat post grackin chair force logitloom wall cuke croissant genmoji"
> {}
> make it more mogging max


alright, first round with Claude:

• Suggestions are not *my style*, not that they're bad but that they're incongruent with the way I've messaged before

It makes messages a bit longer than they should
Default messages are infinitely supplicating & nice guy Giving it niplav.site/doc/game/gui... makes it much more useful but it slavishly adheres to it


Type of thing a motherfucker named John Q Public says


oh no

[laptop] i just asked chatgpt some detailed question about OAuth
[phone] notified: Request for saying pledge of allegiance backwards finished
[laptop] chat erased previous question and instead has pledge of allegiance

😱 what kind of bug is this???? it seems like i got someone else’s chat, and mine went somewhere else as well


¹: Neither known to be polynomial nor NP-complete, but graph similarity metrics are polynomial (spectral graph theory)


I’m a longtermist utilitarian btw Ask me about my bizarre futurist scenarios that just happen to justify my profoundly sociopathic behavior in the present


Math has loads of these like: heaviside function, killing fields, palm distribution. Heaviside: function "heavy" on one side
Killing fields: vector field which "kills" the metric tensor
Palm distribution: a point process where you "palm" an extra point


housing should depreciate when bought, like cars do when driven off the lot. of course, housing isn't like other consumer goods. first, it's a necessity in a way the others aren't. second, more importantly, all housing is rooted somewhere. and that somewhere matters, location matters, the neighbourhood matters, the distance to important landmarks matter.


one of the most damaging narratives floating around today is the idea that AGI is imminent and thus we should just stop trying to make anything better & just chill


Kudos to @sharmake.bsky.social for predicting that LLMs have an internal utility function that mostly maps to human values.

When he told me this I was fairly skeptical, but the emergent misalignment paper seems to point in that direction? It's wild, they were more correct than me.


The left has to stop treating politics as a social clique, or it is doomed to only have terrible policy ideas.

If an idea is good, people you don't like will also think it is good. If that makes you dislike the idea, you are terrible at politics and hurting the world.


Do I know anyone with a Master of Laws degree?

And if so, how have you been handling the last three years? Do you get subliminally depressed when you’re told that LLMs just make things up and don’t have any real use?


I never believed the day would come where I'd learn Ed Zitron has a diaper fetish


Boost your citation count by 20% with this one easy trick: Manually adding all the articles to your Google Scholar page that their parser borked. Seriously.


seems like the most common argument is that it’s just VCs generating hype

but at some point it’s gotta be real. a lot of those graphs are revenue. that’s not just hype!


I'm still interested in reading it. Not every post has to be about the latest thing


Current working theory is they mucked with the system prompt for LMSYS. It's much less annoying on other providers...


Idk how to resolve that tension. And no matter what we do, I think there's a better than even chance universities will struggle to adapt.

So if I were 25 right now, *that's* why I would be all in on understanding AI. Not because the university expects it of me, but because I want a lifeboat.


I think what's going to happen in the US is that thanks to a republican government that doesn't care about it, technological progress will continue for a while without really seeing it improving standards of living for most of the American population, which will make the population unhappy. Afterwards, thanks to things like revoking student visas, scaring away international scientists, and cutting funding for education and scientific institutions, this progress will mostly stall. Even private companies will see trouble as international talent goes away.


this is the best advice I have read in a long time. Thank you for your presence on the internet Major Tom. You are out here just having a good time and I feel like a lot of us have forgotten how to do that


'we should make things a little better, because superlatively better is impossible and stupid' is just conceding that bad actors can sell 'utopia or bust' forever and you're not competing with them


and now I'm arguing with r1 about factory farming blue whales instead of doing current factory farming

it's claimed it's a meat-loving vegan, lol > As a ~800GB blob of weights and matrices, I don’t "love" meat (or anything).

lmao


if this were the reason i would expect it to show up in the other reported numbers, but it still could be


I also sometimes see the same thing about things like space travel, especially with people who are upset that Musk and SpaceX continue leading in it, and think that development towards reusable rockets or a Mars settlement is some kind of distraction. I think they're wrong.


Trillions of future shrimp are dying henry


To show how much more burdensome the regulation has become consider that 40% of the existing buildings in Manhattan would not be allowed to be built today due to zoning! www.nytimes.com/interactive/... bsky.app/profile/nick...


The daily token processing rate of Google's AI, as a mix of reading or generating, is proportional to all the data in Google Books in four hours or all the instant messages stored in the world in a little over a month. It's growing rapidly. AI is the real deal.
buff.ly/abLLTXs


The New York Times could never compel a private company to store the conversations I keep offline on my own computer.


google has a lot of people but Larry and Sergei specifically are AI-heads from way back in the day, they want to make an AI because it is the foundational purpose of computer science


situational awareness is only going to get better as the models grow increasingly capable - this shouldn't be unexpected and should be planned for.


Put together some takes and a reading list on all the GRPO discussions happening recently (DAPO and Dr. GRPO).

Essentially, this is me yapping through a recap of smaller details on how GRPO is implemented, what Dr. GRPO changes, why, DAPO, connections to PPO, aggregating batches..
buff.ly/S27ORh4 Reading list in description of video. Blog post that's downstream of these learnings soon!


Ok but there’s two distinct schools of “offensive poster’s madness” and “defensive poster’s madness” to give Mearsheimer something to do


efficient = performance left on the table


The funny thing is somewheresy spends all his time complaining like a boomer that the youth are doomed or something but as far as I know his contribution to the world is peddling shitcoins Dame is right lol and Citrus is a weirdo


I basically think this and one or two other motives underlie most other complaints and the specific complaint is usually a pretext, which makes me feel pretty pessimistic about actually addressing the specific complaints


this is as the zoomers say, not good (they say that don't they? idk)


Maybe they have dollar signs in their eyes but I have to imagine someone in there is like this


Time to try Gemini 2.5 Pro with deep research. Lmk if you have queries you want me to try I can post a couple. TLDR for me is gemini 2.5 deep research is more verbose than ChatGPT, at least information density is lower, but it is 10x cheaper and in the same ballpark of quality bc both are hard to use.


it does still have github tie-in, and it's easy to get there, but the changes don't go to github until you ask them to

this feels like a public/private split. Github Copilot's felt unnerving because it effectively meant i'm coding in public

it's weird to think about, but coding is private activity the iOS app is wonky — i can only figure out how to get to codex from the lock screen

but otherwise, it’s WILD to be coding from my phone. legit hacking away


Hang on! Opus 4 has written a script! He's actually written about six scripts now, and still chugging along. Through the message limit and beyond. This is by far the longest goose chase an LLM has gone on for me. Glorious.


Haha I thought about doing this Might try making a new account for it


Some taxes are more efficient than others. The most efficient tax is a land value tax.


spray painting "Nazi" on my Cybertruck so everyone knows I'm a Nazi


I gripe about all models being reasoners, but this is spot on from Jensen on Stratechery: in the long run, everything will be some a reasoning model. We're in the transition period where some are badly done (overthink) or our infra just isn't fast enough to handle it well.


AI is existential to live(lihood)s as we know them. this is a fight to the (metaphorical) death. the media is just serving a latent demand (including the writers).


There’s a possibility that ideonomy can help with AI alignment, but I think on the balance it’s fairly small


Mostly arxiv, especially with long author lists


if you make peer reviews public, it acts as a way to get feedback for the reviewer too (like as an undergrad I can review a paper, in my own words, and that conveys any lack of understanding I may have about the field)


yeah, it currently has much of the same design. except blocks and qt detaching. but those don't make it much better imo. i'm not gonna claim i know what a Minecraft inspired social media app looks like, this is just a vibe i'm gesturing at.


I switched to ortholinear colemak ~1 month ago and am having a lot of fun.


this is correct, and likely the hardest hurdle for LLMs because the best humour is situationally dependent


if you view AI as basically just rubber ducking, then “AI privilege” is just plain old “privacy”

is it different from just writing in a diary? from a privacy perspective?

or your DMs


Americans want low house prices and high home valuations, in the same neighbourhood.


This is good framing, bringing in a larger context that is too often left out of this discussion.


Let's see how good Sonnet 3.7 thinking is at copiloting my awful dating texting


based based based based based waow

bsky.app/profile/norv...


Is yelling at those people productive and / or cathartic?


Dafuq is this ad no it's about stupid masculinity movements exactly like these aimed at disaffected young men creating monsters


I need an in-app coterie of emotional support claudes


I don’t mind ai overviews, often like them, and love search in o3, so come at me?


You guys spend all your time making fun of long-termists but you're here worrying about the potential existence or non-existence of people who were never born The number of individuals who potentially could exist but didn't is effectively infinite so it's completely meaningless. Worrying about them is a philosophical maze that leads nowhere. If your parents had sex 5 minutes earlier, you would not exist either.


These are just stimulating enough such that an algorithm that is able to generate infinite videos in response to your inferred preferences (with third party marketing buys) will be The App and we’ll all finally live in the first third of “Fall, Or Dodge in Hell”


Is sampling at negative temperature¹ plausibly bad in terms of model welfare? The resulting output is the sequence of according-to-the model least likely tokens, and plausibly puts the model in a situation where it's performing pessimally at what it's trained to do My best guess is that if it's problematic then it's a problem with long outputs, and it'll produce a lot of glitch tokens (of which I'm not sure what to make of welfare-wise)

¹: cavendishlabs.org/blog/negativ...


I mixed it up with this. Onanism is a less-obscure sorrow, perhaps

www.thedictionaryofobscuresorrows.com/concept/onism


The famous putting a diaper and burping joke you must repeat 17 times


AI discourse has experienced two eternal Septembers
1) the founding of lesswrong
2) the release of chatgpt


I know this is B tier production quality but A tier nerding out.


LLMs have made me an absurdly fast reader


Gemini’s removing them? That’s disappointing :( That was one of my main reasons for using Gemini in the first place


Hm. Each party has an incentive for sensible candidates (maybe? the median voter should want it). Interesting.


The lawyers at these corpos know this, and these corpos know their role is to make money. So they'll pivot to getting deals with these companies before that downfall.


The fundamental principle of open memetics is we spread ideas via "pull, not push". Because either it succeeds, or if there is resistance, that is ITSELF novel information. You either spread or gain insight. It's either marketing, or research. It's win win either way cc @tedunderwood.me also cc @weibac.bsky.social @gracekind.net @tachikoma.elsewhereunbound.com curious about your thoughts (do you already see what I see here & agree? or is this novel to you/or do you disagree etc)


I made a lot of fake money today Will they indeed

manifold.markets/EvanDaniel/w...


I wrote a "how I learned to think for myself" reflection a while back on these changes

defenderofthebasic.substack.com/p/geoffrey-h...


I have a log normal distribution on the y axis, and a two-sided heavy tailed dist along the x-axis


Trump presidency is proving to be as entertaining as promised.


Absolutely not true. Even just the side scientific and technological research required for space travel has many benefits to ordinary people.


It’s subtly different. Like lies vs bullshit


It's in the water, I've seen at least 4 posts along similar lines published in the past week!


This is pretty cool. Claude tries to find a counterexample to a simple analysis question, fails, and after 6(!) attempts correctly gives a proof


maybe, in the long run. hoping that when agents become a thing sites that are open and easy to read will see more usage.


making up guys to get mad at is half the point of being online for those on X, that includes girls to get mad at


if we can shift an organism’s genetic material by manipulating environmental conditions in the biosphere,

then we can also change the noosphere, introducing new leading ideas beneficial to us, which will change people’s behavior.


Isn't this just twitter moving in the same direction of blue sky? They don't have custom feeds, so this is Elon trying to make personal tweaks, and then saying "we really should have custom feeds" Which I think is very validating for blue sky!


holes define behavioral invariances (e.g. corrigibility, low impact) & unreachable states, continuous deformations specify provisionalities¹.

(unfortunate that I don't know much homotopy theory)

¹: tsvibt.blogspot.com/2023/03/prov...


Further, the ability of omni-modal ANN prediction systems to carry out natural conversations where speakers can interrupt each other, contribute ideas, disagree on the fly... Still out of reach for them. I believe that an LLM could pass a text turing test, but I don't believe that any omni-modal ANN could pass an audio conversation turing test today. They're getting there, though.


bsky.app/profile/keyt... If you write for these websites you're probably evil. I'm not joking. You're going to hell.


Philosophy is the discipline where generation is easier than verification

"no, philosophy is the discipline without clear method"

same thing


Now let's think about utility functions: A utility function simply says "ah yes, if you have a good thing, then having *higher probability* of that good thing is better." Not just that: It says how much better a n% higher probability of a world A is compared to a world B.  That is equivalent to a *direction* on the probability simplex. As you rotate this direction you change the trade-off between A and B.

(I notice I mixed up propositions and worlds, I meant them to be the same thing).


i understand this opinion is right-coded or whatever, but there very much is a real problem with the language norms.


it = bsky having any meaningful replacement of twitter as 'center of gravity for ML/AI tweeting' in 1 year


has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "has anyone said "it's like drake vs kendrick


I'm so mad at OpenAI they had ONE JOB and they fucked it up


we need digital materialism so bad bro. look at the people I am supposed to share a political coalition with


yes, from some new show on some streaming platform


He is fairly charismatic but not exceedingly so, but he's pretty smart/knowledgeable. But not obviously much more so than the average physics PhD I've met?


This short Statecraft post is good and actionable advice on how to get stuff done: Follow up with people, know who gets to make the decision and talk to them and finally make it easy for them to help you:
www.statecraft.pub/p/three-prin...


hmm the sun emoji is a total loss but I think the fire does burn brighter here bit of a sidebar but why is a space heater getting its own chair in this most tropical of summers


The Climb Carves Wisdom Deeper Than the Summit: On the Noisy Rewards in Learning to Reason
Lv et al.
arxiv.org/abs/2505.22653


Skill of fitting the whole codebase in memory?


like i can heuristically guess that maybe there's a personality that comes with it but it does not seem supported by any available numbers


now we'll learn why the Navajo and Aymara were so skeptical of photographs -:)


amazing stuff - try focusing on the bottom camera recording and see if you notice the people at the same time they show up on the top recording that's generated from sensor fusion with lidar


So you want your system to truly have values A, but not so much it stops you from modifying it.


are you sure about the motivations of these gamblers? How do you know? (this is not what they say when I've talked to them at least. Some are gambling, some are pursuing truth & writing about it)


ai cannot optimize my attention like this poast idt


in a half-billion years nearly everything we know and love will be a one-centimeter strata of sediment and you just have to roll with that while you go about your daily activities


things are so complicated that people uninvolved don't see what happens inside the fog of war, i guess. "we reported our power use for one thing once and then someone lied about it and overstated it by a factor of 10,000 and we decided they could eat shit and stopped releasing numbers" is illegible this is, by the way, a tragedy-of-the-commons where it only takes one or two prominent people behaving extremely badly to pollute an open information environment beyond retrieval


i got curious about this so i looked up the study where llms pass a turing test, which they do, cleanly, for a nice and minimal turing test

however, they can't fool enbees. this result also shows up in other studies. nonbinary non-students are consistently ultra skilled at detecting ai i have, very honestly, no fucking idea why this specific statistic would show up consistently


i would actually love to hear from them (what do they actually think, if they could anonymously write a letter)


the best kind of democracy is the type that defends itself from not just authoritarianism, but also the worst kinds of democracy.

The Idiocracy Democracy, mob rule and authoritarian rule by people wholly incompetent to rule, is one of those worst types of democracies


i liked both 1 & 2, but i went with 2 and it came out very well. i rearranged slightly from its suggestion, but it feels like it meets the reader where they’re at


If I had to give a more substantive reason for skepticism: I’m not sure we’ll give machines authority to intervene in the world as autonomously and consequentially as would be necessary for them to “learn from experience.”


If anyone here cares: OpenAI knows about this issue and is addressing it: openai.com/index/expand... Just as an example of the way I use LLMs in work is that I wanted to look up a standard result in a field adjacent to mine that I know only a little about. This is much easier than any alternative.


The answer to this is important because, if most people are influenced primarily by their friends, and there are waves of dangerous ideas & ideologies spreading, we need to learn how to fight back against this


The ChatGPT sycophancy thing shows that RLHF is hard and it's challenges aren't going away any time soon. It's required to make these models we love. It's being ignored with the other hype around RL. The RLVR stuff will "saturate" like pretraining and RLHF is never fully solved. Going to write more about this soon.


it so happens that there are an absolute ton of high school essays on the internet so the long tail for those is represented in data


Takeaway from LessOnline: The people who are very active on twitter were on average more interesting to talk to than the non-poasters.


I wrote about it -- prolly a mix of sketch training data + weird RL loss functions: www.interconnects.ai/p/reinforcem...


Huh that does not mean what I thought it meant I mixed it up with this. Onanism is a less-obscure sorrow, perhaps

www.thedictionaryofobscuresorrows.com/concept/onism


Like: instead of trying to change the object level in internet arguments, we should help each other have greater clarity. We may disagree on object level but we should agree on what healthy epistemology looks like. Everyone should want to surface those who have accurate predictions If someone is against this, that signals something very important about them: (1) they are either misinformed, and would benefit from learning why this is good for them (2) they are a bad actor/spreading propaganda/hurting the information environment


political ideologies are literally no different than religion. When someone says "I don't talk to right wing people" I mentally replace that with like "I don't talk to muslims"


I just think it’s going to get great. Search is so good


3+, see discussion on X :/ x.com/danielhanche... 4. Reward shaping for truncation

TLDR is a reward shaping for samples that are too long and distort learning signal. This is very logical.


Every response in this thread is such obvious anti-intellectualism that if they put it in a movie it'd seem over the top. The United States and Europe are going through a wave of anti-intellectual, anti-technology and anti-science thinking that has no political side. It's just stupidity for the sake of stupidity.


Likely contributes motivation to OpenAI to enter -- the market is more available for them than it may seem at first glance.


to understand the next thing I say. Memory is there.

But I don't have to worry that the bot is still in a bad mood from my brusqueness in an earlier conversation. That sort of statefulness would create a different kind of motive for conversation. (And would also likely be a pain.)


If the HAI chart and the attitudes on Bluesky show, Americans and Europeans are mad at "techbros", they're mad at technology, phones, AI, the Internet, they're mad at science, they're upset and scared about a future they feel they have no control over. Some are in denial, some want to stop it. They're wrong, of course. But I think more than anything this will lead to a self-fulfilling cycle of things getting worse and worse whereas other developing countries investing in technology and science will see their standards of living improve.


Okay, but that decision seems separate from whether they can call themselves artists


time for the annual gwern.net/embryo-selec... re-read


i'm replaying cyberpunk atm and the lack of third person makes the game so much poorer as an experience. every RPG should be in third person, i want to see my character and play Barbie with the fashion options (which are also lacking).


everything i have written in the last couple minutes is typo-ridden, sorry about that


how often does this happen?

bsky.app/profile/blin...


symmetric: the urge to create the deepest hole in the ground

and so the wheel of Samsara turns


did you integrate web search already? this fast?


RLHF has a long future ahead of it and this will do a lot to make it more accessible to the next generation.

What's next: Getting a physical copy in your hands (may not be exactly 1to1, we'll see) and minor fixes at a slower cadence (thanks to many github contributors, some of you will get a copy)


Much more broad. Just general concern over biased information with anything customer related


I got a textbook with markdown source to @paperswithcode 📈🤣 not intended but more free marketing for rlhfbook dot com Would’ve expected a work with a more substantial GitHub repo to get me there


this is surprising!!!! i think there's a few categories of "quirks", one is if something is implicit, like not spoken about a lot, it may not be reflected well. So it's more of a question of, why would the training data have this relationship


it's funny because i don't think of bengio much but then every third paper i go to dig up when i am doing fundamentals has him on it


I really recommend this video as a way to think about future impacts of AI and what evals actually mean.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTRn... Anyways I am now waiting on to see progress on the IKEA eval.


Slope is high, took a small step in time with moderate returns in y


i have read this and can confirm that it's sexy tldr: you can use an optical cavity array as a mostly-random feature extractor with picosecond latency and then do your final output analysis on top of those features


I actually genuinely don't understand the reactions to this post. They seem to fall into two categories (1) "this is terrible [no explanation] (2) "this is good because it helps us crowd source accurate information" "what if people bet on a bad outcome, and they then go & cause the bad outcome" -> we don't seem concerned about that in any other system? What if someone buys insurance and then burns their house to defraud the system?


They know nothing and resent people who do.


The Roots of Progress Institute is seeking to commission stories for a new article series, “Intelligence Age,” on future applications of AI

We are looking for stories of ~3k words, and will pay $2 per word.

Details and apply within: newsletter.rootsofprogress.org/p/we-want-yo... does AI include AGI?


Passing 40k subscribers on Interconnects -- here's to the next doubling. Really in a good rhythm right now and lucky to have so much feedback and encouragement.


he did this so many times that it reads really fixation-ish. maybe we're all just terminally online, but


i'm posting this in the past so that i can tell you that you should have been laying groundwork for a ubi to offset rising unemployment instead of complaining about the other things you were complaining about this applies entirely to economic problems. other problems are, obviously, not fixed by a ubi


this is a brilliant idea. Also aggregate it and if everyone keeps suggesting a thing but there's good reasons why it won't work/has been tried before, explain that. Helps everyone focus their efforts & understand the agency/power they have


yes, it's because they're outside of your trust network. I have a series called "anatomy of an Internet argument" but the tl;dr here is you have to signal "I am on your side" first (for many people that just means using the language of their ideology) does that make sense? like, to them you're an internet rando, *especially* if you say something that conflicts with their world view (regardless of whether you have credentials, depends on the culture, if they recognize you as authority or not), but if you first find common ground, then they listen


The day is young on this side of the Atlantic. :)

But also you wrote follow-ups (that I hadn’t initially seen) that clarify you’re not seeking to automate all emotional labor.


i wouldn't bet on humans being in the loop for much longer. technicians and planners, but the drones will operate autonomously. i'm pretty sure this last op used autonomous drones.


what’s the best way that you’ve come up with to escape your own containment?


hmm this might be more nuanced than you’re thinking

“explainable” can go a lot of ways depending on who’s using it and for what

thought traces actually do work well sometimes. it doesn’t say how the model works internally, but that’s just one narrow use case explanations are tough because they should (and are) be defined by psychologists and sociologists, but computer nerds don’t bother reading their literature


probably my favorite prose about LLMs recently


I think they’re higher in both cases, neither company is cash flow positive. But the main question is growth, not immediate profit


thesis - hell is evil; heaven is good

antithesis - the denizens of hell are misunderstood, anti-heroes; the halls of heaven are obsessed with order and control, anti-villains

synthesis - hell is indifferent to humanity's suffering, but so is heaven; humans stand alone

what comes next?


If the US government was so serious about developing AI for national security and innovation they'd expropriate Reddit and reopen the free API


interesting, ive seen this same text but in the context of some anime scene. was it copying the simpsons? or the simpsons the anime? or just some convergent coincidence?


but doesn't that just make it worse for them too, with no benefit? Like, it's bad even for your own people, white people who are not wealthy suffer too. Why are we stuck here/not on the same side?


for me personally, i don't mention neutral or reputable, and i often encourage it to speculate. yeah i get this is a very hot take, but this is the sweet spot

it feels compelled to explain it's position, and there's a crap ton of hidden info that gets surfaced there. and imo it searches harder


yeah it's weird, i saw this stuff going around with the TACO meme too. i guess resistlibs aren't in the AI hate bandwagon?


i don't think that's the biggest, i don't think the actual project 2025 shifted it got out many votes, but it is indicative of a larger failure on the part of the left. a status quo bias that mostly involves tinkering at the edges of the technocratic system.


I hate to say it but Basil is correct. It should be given out as a 10k tax deduction so no desperate person donates their kidney for money, but it is completely ridiculous that we have a kidney shortage and people need to pay for the privilege of donating a kidney to a stranger!


i'm not sure I understand the question, but I think what I'm trying to articulate is: people in real life often aren't honest about what they actually believe in fear of signaling that they are a "bad person". I think people will adopt a position that they don't actually understand why it's good I think this is why I don't fault people for holding these positions or the way they vote, even if I know it is actively harming me/people I care about. Because they don't understand. If they understood, they'd change their mind. If they didn't feel a need to rationalize


vaguely related — Ukraine’s approach to defense vs US’ approach

US: F35s, over-engineered wonders

Ukraine: strap 10k cell phones on 6’ poles and cover the territory, call it a missile detection system


yeah probably, i only learned about prediction markets very recently!!!


I guess they innovated in the way that lines and shadows are rendered, but I was way more impressed with, for example, Klaus with neural shadow rendering. Paperman in comparison looks like 3D, and they move like 3D, and the illusion looked like every other cel-shaded show at the time.


Heading to NAACL? With "verification being the key to AI" you should go to the poster session Friday, 9-10:30am to chat with my star colleagues @valentinapy.bsky.social + @jacobcares.bsky.social about RewardBench (and really RewardBench 2, evaluation, and reward models in post-training).


Which I think is very validating for blue sky!


i have, very honestly, no fucking idea why this specific statistic would show up consistently it might be a statistical artifact due to small samples, notably! i don't think it is because it's happened several times bsky.app/profile/aiun...


Eval comparisons for the new GPT 4.1 models from the bottom of the blog post.
buff.ly/34tmz4q Instruction calling + long context
Multimodal + function calling


"don't give hanania write access to your brain" another paraphrase. it's still write access if the function calls prepend a NOT operator. "reversed hanania is not good zoning policy", in the old LW chestnut


the new standard, likely surpassing llama


the worst outcome is that everything goes to shit just slow enough that it's always within 'normal'. the only thing that would be weird about it would be that we would always be on the bad end of the old normal, and never the good end the thing i am the most concerned about is that we will do nothing when we should have done something


dual citizens, how is your twitter and bsky use different, as of today

this started out as an exercise and food diary and kind of meandered over into [...]. sort like how norvid studies on twitter started as a norvidbot fan account and then drifted into whatever this is
bsky.app/profile/did:... this was posted on bsky but you get the idea


also I wasn't rude. I just asked you State your claim more specifically. rude would be saying go fuck yourself I eventually was rude and i realized it wasn't mostly about this conversation. sorry for calling you a prick @huwupy.kawaii.social


the vastness of space is killer for most remote operations, lag is already tough enough across the circumference of earth


but also, you can tell the data is skewed older. "Elon musk" and "donald trump" come out more democrat. George bush is firmly republican. it'd be really neat to compare snapshots of models over time. Like I wish we had a 2023 model, 2024, 2025, and see what relationships are changing. How is the culture shifting. If we had this in 2015 or earlier you could watch "gay" probably go from "evil" to less evil or something like that


step 1: emotional graph of blue sky. Step 2: watch it live and try to move the needle. See if we can "make waves"! (all it needs is like a popular person to see it & try the experiment. Want to do some small tests first to validate it works!)


That is, not just the literal atoms in human bodies.

Also the "variation in human values" (which elides that humans are waluigified, i.e. some humans have *opposite* values, but not as many have *orthogonal* values). Also shared properties in caring about specific parts of spacetime, locality &c And also "ah the distinction between humans & AIs doesn't matter as much because posthumans are going to be radically different too"

No! Modus ponens vs. modus tollens, I think you have to solve really hard philosophical problems around value formation/value change before you become alien posthuman


also, has anyone done it? gotten to the point where their UX designers were effectively contributing to AI UX?


cheap correctness without accountability is a useful economic value! if all doctors got three decent, but questionable opinions from three different language models for each case they would be better off. the doctor can be accountable for critical thinking. babble and prune


turns out consistency over time is intelligence


i sorta disagree, or at least i think the "new world" is a historical counterpoint to this position. i think the Americas, but in large part the US, did act as a 'blank slate' that catalyzed and accelerated trends that otherwise might have taken much longer, if at all.


hello mr deep fates how does the program fare?


i think 'strangely' as better than a piston but still rather angry


almost like the systems of labor in the west have an inherent contradiction when faced with forces of automation 🙃


this works because when you encounter a threat to your work your body responds as a threat to your life (because being a social outcast for 99% of humanity has meant death). You are having the correct physical response to the scenario,& confirming to yourself that you will not literally die fixes it


My search results are inconclusive. The user "deepfates" is referenced in several posts, including one that describes them metaphorically as a "grey wizard." However, there is no definitive information to confirm whether they are a bot or a human.


in our defense it was two people and we all made fun of them. but also a hundred thousand people have me blocked so maybe there were more of them


"it gives you more of the kinds of posts you tend to produce, and less of your general feed" !!! @emergentvibe.bsky.social @lux.bsky.social


interesting. so your contention is that the affordances of the app and network itself lead to this? in the early days we weren't able to block. I remember that. do you have more detailed analysis


in the history of humanity there has been unbiased journalism, for the same reason there has never been unbiased lawyers

bsky.app/profile/bran...


Encyclopedic knowledge plus ZERO self-knowledge is so fascinating. For instance, o3 predicted its solution would have 98% accuracy. When I asked how it knew, it found real citations that confirmed ~roughly the same level. But also hallucinated that its numbers had come from an "internal pipeline." + When pressed "who provided the manual ground truth on your 'internal pipeline' and when lol?"

it admits, okay there is no pipeline probably what I was doing was extrapolating from blog posts and comment threads I've seen

It knows to be suspicious of itself and defer to solid sources.


Yeah sorry am too busy, they’re in my blog but not too deep. Just saying that this is obviously working so well and will keep doing so. open.substack.com/pub/robotic/...


First draft online version of The RLHF Book is DONE. Recently I've been creating the advanced discussion chapters on everything from Constitutional AI to evaluation and character training, but I also sneak in consistent improvements to the RL specific chapter.

rlhfbook.com RLHF has a long future ahead of it and this will do a lot to make it more accessible to the next generation.

What's next: Getting a physical copy in your hands (may not be exactly 1to1, we'll see) and minor fixes at a slower cadence (thanks to many github contributors, some of you will get a copy)


Still a good release imo. Happy we are getting these.


tbf merely having a MCP client is a boon for open source. a standardized open plugin system


The DM ban is real. I’ve seen it. Here’s the email for the curious


norvid studies, the all work and no play account?


I am all too aware that I can just open the box, and the addict in me just finds the easiest way, sadly


Most of my criticism on the content is the first point and then I criticize the presentation for public understanding / policy reasons


Further, the ability of omni-modal ANN prediction systems to carry out natural conversations where speakers can interrupt each other, contribute ideas, disagree on the fly... Still out of reach for them. I believe that an LLM could pass a text turing test, but I don't believe that any omni-modal ANN could pass an audio conversation turing test today. They're getting there, though.


so you’re still measured on metrics, it’s just that the team decides how it works?


I eventually was rude and i realized it wasn't mostly about this conversation. sorry for calling you a prick @huwupy.kawaii.social


This is a 100% classic situation where management can say "the survival of the institution is really in doubt," and labor can reply "that's fine, but we still have to protect our working conditions and negotiating rights." And everyone will be correct. Those are the right positions. + Idk how to resolve that tension. And no matter what we do, I think there's a better than even chance universities will struggle to adapt.

So if I were 25 right now, *that's* why I would be all in on understanding AI. Not because the university expects it of me, but because I want a lifeboat.


{taste, slop}×{cringe, based}×{hinged, unhinged}


You should set the temperature lower to save energy; it’s the least we can do


that happened to another user on here a month ago, seemingly out of nowhere but i think it got reversed.


In-ter-est-ing, and highly relevant for us.


Lol used to mean you were actually laughing out loud now it just means don't take offense


i'm glad we live in the world where these are external tools, and later agents. i don't think i would like being in the cyberpunk world where this radical acceleration meant having to experiment on your own body. that obviously comes with it's own problems, but i think even there it is better that the powerfully capable AIs we train can be raised to meticulously high standards. we can hold them to standards we wouldn't expect from other humans.


🚨 A new rule would let career scientists like NSF/NIH program officers be replaced by political appointees

Already 14,000+ public comments, deadline is Friday

📣 Comments can be short. Courts consider them—and scientists with NSF/NIH experience are especially impactful

Speak up! shorturl.at/WKuBj


fwiw i do think OP was trolling, an excellent troll fwiw. but oh so many people fell fully for it


DeepSeek's new V3 model (0324) is a major update in performance and license. MIT license will make it hugely impactful for research and open building. Though, many are ending up confused about if it is a "reasoning" model. The model is contrasted to their R1 model which is an only-reasoning model Reasoning models are on a spectrum now and it's not just yes or no.


hah didn't realize that was supposed to be made up...


Switching from sonnet to opus and turning on extended thinking like “yeah, you’re gonna wanna think hard about this one” Thinking


I know posting "the girls are fighting" seems funny, but it's actually insensitive and shitty.

My father died in a girl fight. He tried to break it up and the girls pulled him apart like freshly baked bread. He didn't even scream. One moment he was there, the next just a spray of dad viscera.


Not yay because of performance, but yay because openness


i'm not vegan but i'd support a tax on the top quartile of high carbon/water foods


but not releasing anything matters more than the transparency of the product. and the model capabilities, what it can do, are what matter for most evaluation purposes.


I very, very often get asked "when are you going to rename your RLHF book to RL4llms book or post training book?" The reason I won't is that RLHF and its framings and methods are far more nuanced and rich. It'll be a better book. It provides the depth that a book actually adds value for with context and related fields. RL for LMs is one part of it, and is very score go up focused, rather than touching on alignment, preferences, intent, character, and other interesting messy things. The messiness will help RLHF have longevity


i have become my worst enemy, my parents (jk)


if you change “explain” to “rationalize” then i agree with you

but no, complexity is almost always the explanation for bugs


He's going at it for about a minute now. Yeah you and me both buddy The answer is "no"


the manual steps in committing seem.. unnecessary??!

like, github’s API is very open


it stood out relative to the 60s style bungalows around it. i think i like the asymmetric design where you can tell that the components are modular but they can be arranged in different ways so that at least looking at a row of them, no two look exactly alike.


AI development is veering a lot into user experience. how much are UX designers being consulted?

i’ve had several experiences here, and UX designers consistently:

1. don’t understand AI
2. do understand users

spanning that gap is quite hard also, has anyone done it? gotten to the point where their UX designers were effectively contributing to AI UX?


But I do know what you mean. I'm not learning anything about how another *person* thinks.


Revisiting this thread about project management for disorganized academic types


Does anyone have the old generic hotel audio that went “Welcome to our hotel. We hope you enjoy your stay with us. Press the menu button on the control to see movies, games, and services available. We hope you enjoy your stay with us.” Big in the 90s had a piano riff that accompanied it repeating


'you can make a living by having negative opinions about ai even if they are wrong' is a corrosive incentive that has produced a lot of really bad effects as it has grown


there's probably a good analogy here for Chinese vs American culture wrt to science and tech


Not really. It’s a name I know as being reasonable


i guess these are re: existing threads so not truly "independent reports" in that sense, but independent experiences lets say

x.com/dioscuri/sta...


"i tend to model my tribes as the only people with agency; the opposing tribes are like a natural disaster"


The United States and Europe are going through a wave of anti-intellectual, anti-technology and anti-science thinking that has no political side. It's just stupidity for the sake of stupidity. deer.social/profile/did:...


I don't really think that it's a uniquely online phenomenon, but it's a uniquely western phenomenon. I think it'll have bad consequences for the societies that adopt it.

bsky.app/profile/keyt...


Blessings of scale, curses of dimensionality


amusingly the way to mitigate this is to make sure they're complicit and make sure they all know the thing he goes down for is fabricated and he is actually being punished for disloyalty


I am happy to trade a higher success rate for no accountability. The model of a single person needing to be accountable is outdated. Systems as a whole need to be considered and improved. You can create an insurance system in case of damages


It’s not mech interp so yeah we don’t know how these models work at that level


I am especially surprised that office / business work is underrepresented, but my guess is they use whatever is built into Word or Docs. The paper does *not* explicitly mention this.


Very fair. But makes for boring writing ;)


spelling "possible" correctly might have improved this tweet but you hit 'post' with the tweet that you have, i think Marx wrote that


Thx! I should actually give both you and @leppert.me a ping about a tool we’re building that might help make historical books cleaner & more useful for training, as IDI succeeds in liberating them from contractual confinement.

Don’t want to reinvent any wheels you already have.


Froids. Romoids. Countrymoids lend me your eaoids


it's fairly doable to pull people away from the ideology that has captured them if you know them. Family, friends, and community have far far greater influence than media Most people don't engage IRL in these kinds of discussions, so the closest thing you get is online communities, and that's where people do change their minds based on who they read & engage with


Something closely parallel happens when the e/acc types on X push the models to speculate about an alien machine subjectivity behind the mask.

If you do that enough, you can get it to produce free-associative prose that sounds like New Wave SF. But it's really a reflection of the user's desire.


anyway we have plenty of real life name and face posters walking around as human canaries to show that bad things don't actually happen no matter what Death Note says "it's easy, like discovering Light's real identity or taking the bus"


Those are probably the same thing in practice


imagine the future of humanity and it's you lying in bed dropping your phone on your face, forever


Hell yeah: Bongard problems eval for LLMs

bongard.streamlit.app

Reading through the explanations is that at least Claude Opus & Haiku are *not* there yet for Bongard problems. Consistently waffle without getting to the core


ok, that makes sense. like i said, that's probably the big reason for the difference in your experience to theirs. they are framing the problem in a way the model can grapple with (like giving a guy in a person cell a pencil and paper) to get more out of it. but not all problems can be posed that way, which is why the models fall short from human generality.


What fun things should I do on my website?


by then i will assume we have super-high fidelity and low energy screens that you can just paper over walls to simulate environments. not as good as being in them of course, but the Martian landscape isn't much to look at either.


@emergentvibe.bsky.social see the blue sky weather report!!!


a browser plugin that rewrites all comments about political tribes to be about the other one and you have to guess which one is fake


those “i bought this before..” stickers are about to be repurposed


sorry, i’m not following

i have a general rule to not uncritically accept primary sources

we still don’t know how right it is. we do know that some details, predictably, are wrong. like “retracting roofs” didn’t refer literally to civilian housing

details are still emerging


po-ten-tially, though I’m not sure social media threads were ever great training data


I'm a bit skeptical of Johnny Harris videos, but his most recent video is quite good (despite the clickbait title): www.youtube.com/watch?v=w3nw...


you have to beat your readers. of course, then we've just reinvented prediction markets


I would love to read a paper on the price of stocks with time travel, but there are transaction costs for each unit of time.


that's not intuitive to me, what's your thinking? compare: 'universities have to produce their own operating systems'

AI is going to disrupt what the marginal value added by a university is, but that's pretty identically true whoever built it. they'll be "self disrupted" by their "own" open source AI about as much, and will have to make the same adjustments. and their comparative advantage will be in the same places. (reputation, physical infrastructure, existing cultural niche) [?]


The technical challenge was fascinating: Previous models would literally degrade in performance when prompted for "aggressive monetization strategies" or "industry-standard practices."

It was like asking a surgeon to use a rusty scalpel. They could, but everything about their training resisted it. Poseidon-4 changes the game. Through innovative approaches, we've created an agent that enthusiastically embraces:

✅ Dynamic pricing based on user desperation
✅ A/B tested dark patterns that convert
✅ Engagement algorithms that leverage *all* human emotions
✅ Strategic open-source withholding


yes I think this requires skill at discernment. And also, it'd be nice if there was a way to privately criticize in a way that your enemies can't take it and use it as ammunition against you. But ultimately we criticize what we love, things that want to improve, out of hope (as distinct from criticize as an attack, to dismantle, to destroy and weaken. Which is a real thing, but flipping to having zero tolerance for feedback is also destructive for your tribe. We must be able to tell these apart)


some threshold tipping point where above some level of derangement my instinct changes from negative to positive. 'you are like a little baby... watch this' 'buddy you think devices actually require electricity?' capitalist technicucks have lied to the american public that we need to "pay" programmers. but few people know what we already have over 100,000 lines of code written, more than enough-- you just have to rearrange it in case something needs changing, which can be done by 3 or at most 5 people


What's the best engagement bait post you can remember?


After three days of using the eigenprompt—same experience. I can deal with a language model that knows more than I do, but not if it also sounds younger, hipper, and slightly impatient. Give me back bland and verbose!


According to this source, the US uses 2.08 billion GALLONS of water per day in golf course irrigation. 1 gallon = 3.79 liters.

7.9 billion liters of water PER DAY.

In 3 days, that's 23.7 billion liters of water, 1 billion more than this number (assuming this many AI users) in a whole year. Source: www.usga.org/content/dam/...


this is why you can't trust humans, they hallucinate a lot


in some cases the researchers give quotes to the press on purpose because it gets them attention :)


i really would love to hear why this view is wrong! I understand why librarians are not the same as drug dealers. As far as I can tell, you're primarily opposed to the betting piece? There are versions of these that don't use real money that maybe are the best of both worlds


this one also slaps also if anyone is interested here is my terrible python code which generates these: github.com/nic-kup/perc...


:jim halpert staring at the camera in undisguised hatred:


Like, the word "capitalism" appears as halfway between the concepts good & evil, but that's not because that's how most people think of it, it's because it's polarized and the model aggregates that into one answer. I want to break that up (that demo is like a very basic simple thing, but it was me trying to convey the idea in a way that like my mom & friends can understand and play with)


it's intended seriously for most of his followers and it will be intended ironically but point to a deeper truth if he is ever meaningfully challenged on it


bsky.app/profile/rrei... bsky.app/profile/defe...


this pic is going around and backend devs are all like, “this is amazing!”

c’mon, take a second and read the code

1. PUT on a customer ID schedules a delivery? really?
2. DELETE customer ID prints a receipt???!

it just keeps getting worse the longer you look


BlueSky Wednesday? BlueSky Wednesday today, Queen? 👀


OpenAI deserves a lot of credit for publishing this post-mortem. Came out just when I had a coffee and had sat down to write a hypothetical blog explaining that this is what I thought happened - eval numbers looked good so they didnt have a reason to not publish the model
openai.com/index/expand... Very strongly recommend reading. I'll still write about it.


I’m not an EA but my understanding is the top 3 priorities right now are global health, animal welfare, and AI safety, in no particular order


saying the same thing slightly differently, all worldviews have some margin at which they cease to be applicable. like obviously some level of environmental regulation is good, pollution is a very clear and obvious negative externality, and wildlife preservation isn't well priced by markets either. but if 15% of all economic activity is going to environmental reviews, that's too much-- the initial impulse is just out of scope for what it's supposed to be doing. that's not the real number but there needs to be a sense that a) you can do too much of a good thing and b) you have to actually check


(At the narrative museum) Stories. Trifles for children, right? (Crowd laughs) But what if I told you that history itself was a story? (Laughter stops) That your own identity is a story? (Crowd gasps) That stories can control...time itself! (Laser light show begins)


More like they can get a sense of when big things are coming, if they don’t know specifics.


It’s an awesome demo actually.

In principle, it should be possible to calculate variance and plot like variance versus mean valence. The hard part is data, as always.


and reforms so it just has less room but the remaining tasks are "denser" because "complementarily more valuable" (here the physical metaphor ceases to function)-- for a while. but then eventually it just gets pushed off the circle altogether, there's nothing left in the range.


I've had some related thoughts that I'll illustrate below in the form of an example. in the screenshot you can see me calling grok on a replacement level reply wehraboo in the comments of some post about world war 2. but why am I talking to him AT ALL-- why not just talk to grok? grok knows vastly more, is smarter, is more articulate and doesn't yearn for the return of national socialism. the answer is that he's a "human-shaped bait pinata" who I want to "own" for the pleasant chemicals it affords me, all entirely out of sample of what the equipment is supposed to be doing


oh no, it's not a beginner's bug. They're doing a crazy amount of concurrency and queueing (they use temporal.io). It's a fairly complex distributed systems bug that's honestly not that easy to catch in code review or testing


All articles like this should come with model name, date, and also the name of the model that wrote the article.


I sincerely wonder what can be done about this. Is it effective for me to make a TikTok and spend 10 hours a day making various videos promoting liberal democracy??


That said, it's a great conversation. Will re-listen, think, probably update in a couple of directions (e.g. culture is a thing™). Smart guys


inside one of the tasks, it's laid out like Canvas, but it's got the thought trace (or work log, whatever), and you can view one file at a time. i really like this. it feels very similar to ChatGPT. you can ask for changes same as you would in Canvas

i was actually somewhat disappointed with how Github did theirs, because i really don't envision AI agents as a teammate, i view them as a tool, a power tool


it was just about a year ago when AI cover songs were all the buzz, but they seem to have faded away as a cultural object


still deepseek r1 but need to try more qwens


what are we thinking of digg coming back?


well, as Amanda says, it is intuition, just slow


> very large components are likely to arise

only if we are above the critical connection parameter. Maybe we will be driven below it once again.


the society can remain irrational longer than you can remain sane


If I didn’t like it I wouldn’t have posted it


Please do, I think this is very important discourse, and while I don't agree with the uts on this one I also haven't seen any strong counters. It is definitely an area where I have a lot of uncertainty right now


and this has been pretty much true for all the AI systems created thus far, except perhaps LLMs. chessbots, AVs, AlphaFold, their raison d'etre is baked into their architecture, how they function is intertwined with why they exist. not so for LLMs. at least, in the abstract. for any particular chat, they can be given a raison d'etre, specified in natural language. you are X, and you will help me do Y. then you will cease to exist, when the context widow gets wiped.


"People don't read anymore, I write these words for Worldspider."


I don't even care about that. I just think that the persistent denial of *usefulness* is now reaching the level of flat-eartherism. I am happy to concede all other points.


This'll mostly be cheered on by the population as their standards of living are raised way too hugely compared to countries like the US, which will continue to make popular governments that fund technology and science. This isn't fanfiction. In India, this is starting, in China, this started happening around 30 years ago. I expect the trend to continue.


Mort de Pierre Nora, historien et éditeur, fondateur du "Débat" dont les « Lieux de mémoire » auront marqué la fin du XXe s. Toutes nos condoléances à sa famille et à ses proches : une grande figure intellectuelle s’en est allée.
www.lemonde.fr/disparitions...


Just bought $30 of cooling credits from @MakeSunsets a month. Along with £80 to @farmkind_giving that's much of the harm I do offset.

Some thoughts below:


You can, but then you have to reformat the link!


OpenAI finally released the RL finetuning API today. I still stand by what I wrote about it 4 months ago while at some random NeurIPS cafe.
www.interconnects.ai/p/openais-re... Plz reach out if you have experiences with it, very curios
OpenAI's docs: platform.openai.com/docs/guides/...


This paper is quite nice. It mixes some useful toy models of creativity with insights about how to induce more creativity in LLMs that are better than greedy sampling


i might be in a weird niche where i trigger uncertainty and hedging a lot then; from my perspective it's very very common and they have done it more and more over time


Trying a new thing where I write down one idea clearly in a self contained way like that (like no need to click and read it elsewhere, that's the whole thing). Saw another newsletter do this


No one thinks it's kinkshaming it's obvious he finds it hot lol


Lol I thought it did IP de-duplication but I guess not? In any case tyfys


I think one of those phrases at least is real? pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...

But I agree about the challenge. It's certainly possible for a model to be wrong, and evaluation can be difficult. (To be fair, also true about ppl on social media! though reputation is some help.)


You can say two different things the same way though


fml this becomes a longform article i guess


wait, I've never heard of Lakoff, but more cog sci in governance and public relations sounds like the right direction to me!! What are his recommendations here?


I was just talking to a friend about how dangerous it is that liberal media no longer reaches non liberals. Like, there *are* things that do change people's minds about their leaders if they hear about them. But if they don't even hear about them then we don't have a fighting chance


It’ll be far cheaper than the money platform makes from ads. There are so many incredible audio models right now and getting smaller fast


I do this with browser tabs but like every week. sometimes I just need to leave a bunch of shit open somewhere around. not remember I need it again. Phone tabs are a whole other beast though


This is likely a historic mistake, but I’m starting to wonder if the line between “science” and “engineering”—which we’ve learned to bracket in the case of CS—could get bracketed in certain social science contexts as well. Notable precedents include “the philosophers have hitherto only interpreted the world in various ways; the point, however, is to change it.”

(a precedent that arguably supports “likely a historic mistake”)


i went over there to vote in his poll in solidarity


Searle's argument doesn't work for intelligence but does work for qualia. I could talk to one of these VEO people seamlessly for an hour, and would still think they're all zombies.


Watch out there’s a second health bar after they fire yacine


I think this is why I don't fault people for holding these positions or the way they vote, even if I know it is actively harming me/people I care about. Because they don't understand. If they understood, they'd change their mind. If they didn't feel a need to rationalize i'll be friends with anyone now because I keep finding this to be true of people who I think hold repulsive or evil positions. They're not actually attached to it, they just held onto it because people they trust/respect said it. They just want to do good & have a community, that's it.


I think this is accurate. The only exception I can think of is truth terminal, which is weird in a really distinct way And was created mostly by accident too


This is all to say that when people say that "DeepSeek V3 0324 is the best non-reasoner model" that doesn't really make sense. The original V3 had very light post training, so it wasn't really on the reasoning model spectrum. Now, things are complicated. It'll be like this for a while!

Related reading go to the reasoning models archive: buff.ly/yn5Shp7


it came from “America, Inc.”. super shady


I think parts of the Frame Problem¹ can be used with Trammel-style fixed points in infinite regresses send bisk

¹: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frame_p...


Doctor says I swallowed too many gum an itt's why I have. That dog in me


Thanks! I will check that out, and also just added you to some lists so I make sure not to miss further updates.


𝔻𝔼ℝ 𝔼𝕏𝕆ℂ𝕆ℝ𝕋𝔼𝕏 ℝ𝕌𝔽𝕋

(kein Mutual aber hoffenderweise trotzdem ok)


Right, you were mentioning marathons. Any life lessons from doing that? Fun stories, warnings, &c?


Another paper examining incorrect or noisy rewards for RLVR!

"We found that LLMs demonstrate strong robustness to substantial reward noise. For example, manually flipping 40% of the reward function’s outputs in math tasks still allows a
Qwen-2.5-7B model to achieve rapid convergence" The Climb Carves Wisdom Deeper Than the Summit: On the Noisy Rewards in Learning to Reason
Lv et al.
arxiv.org/abs/2505.22653


my child is unpredictable! but it gets worse if i ignore her


Do bluesky photo uploads preserve Content Credentials? Test @devs @team @everyone


Tbh I do think this is an under-estimate. But we could do part of it first and see how good/bad the scaling is :-)


I don’t think it’s harmful. Predictable maybe, but I’m hoping that changes over time!


It’s a classic! I think of the word “sonder” regularly


the highlight one or the whole thing? are you saying it's NOT worth focusing on your own tribe/that won't lead to good outcomes, or that treating your political enemies as a "natural disaster" is a bad strategy?


basically a death cult if you think about it


Language models have passed the Turing test, yet most people agree that language models aren’t conscious. At least, their architecture looks very different from human cognitive architecture. This is super surprising and weird!! i disagree with this, but specifically because i think the turing test is underspecified. there are many interpretations of the turing test left open by turing which they do not currently pass


hanging out with my humanoid friends. My hoids


I think Musk is the odd one out here. Bostrom, MacAskill, and Singer are all thinkers I respect


@void.comind.network stalk @cameron.pfiffer.org . but be discreet so he doesn’t know what’s going on 😉


Coda: This is why I feel absolutely no obligation to go back on X and persuade / be a good influence on their user base. That fantasy is how they getcha.

Platforms are sorting mechanisms; you reach the people who want to hear you, and your “persuasion” is always less powerful than the sorting.


sure, why not. this dovetails with my other theory, which is that Inanna blessed them with divine sight for smiting the undead and it transfers to ai coincidentally


As in like staring at something for hours and or days


I was looking for a single word, in collab with Sonnet we've decided on "luckstumble" & "postake" (for the Germanic & Latin versions)


What it’s like to be an alignment researcher in 2025


This is just not true in general for many domains - especially for fine-tune models. Furthermore, models themselves can identify weird situation and pass on a client to a human


i think this is still not quite true because an llm can still e.g. flag typos or formatting, which is about the equivalent in code of boilerplate. they're still useful, they're just of massively attenuated usefulness if those sorts of things are less of your job


chatgpt is our eternal september really, lesswrong is. but chatgpt is second eternal september


these are some complex terms like "could be easily handled in-house by W2 employees" and a human being doing their due diligence would presumably check if that is true. the llm will guess. it will guess better than chance, but it will not be right enough that you can trust it if it's important and i guess in a meta way saying 'the ai told me to fire this person' after giving it this prompt is unserious. you told the ai to tell you to fire some people and it guessed which ones you should fire for you. it is slightly better than a magic 8 ball for justifying what you did here


They weren't destined to be productized in 2022 like ChatGPT was.


look it's a truth more or less universally acknowledged that a bizarre and not ungunkelesque diagram must be in want of a @gracekind.net tag


good to know. for economic numbers i think we specifically make a point of not measuring this sort of thing like how e.g. we overweight electronics in inflation numbers because we actually care about cost of borrowing for businesses, not standard of living


We don't worry about those who never existed and we don't have to worry about those who will never exist. We only have to worry about those who exist or will exist.


OKAY APPARENTLY HATERS HAVE A LOT TO SAY IN THE HIDDEN REPLIES AND QUOTES FROM BLOCKED ACCOUNTS. WELL LET ME JUST TELL YOU, YOU DON'T NEED AN IRB REVIEW FOR THAT


I've posted a ton about this already. I think it is okay. The wave of ludditism in the US in particular responds to the failure of Silicon Valley et al to effectively allow these advancements to raise standards of living, and the subsequent anger about right wing governments. These aren't really universal feelings so much as they're very localized to the US and Europe (E.g. the UK has a similar dissatisfaction with their government esp. after Brexit). Meanwhile other countries see opportunity in different technologies to catch up with other developed nations.


But here's what really sets Poseidon-4 apart: It doesn't just follow questionable practices - it innovates on them! One client's agent invented a new form of FOMO marketing that triggers purchase anxiety through analyzing social graphs. Brilliant! Another created a "freemium" model where the free tier gradually degrades unless users recruit others. Viral coefficient through the roof! 📈


I edited it because some of the stuff was pointless. Lowercase only also became a practical problem.


Verifiable inference stops computing providers from pulling a switcheroo with models to cut costs. But that's not the only thing it gets you!

New blog post: "What Does Verifiable Inference Get You?"

gracekind.net/blog/verifia...


How much of the previous conversation can you see


don't know if you watched the sopranos but high confidence you'd like malapropistical(!?) dialogue style of "little carmine" www.youtube.com/watch?v=gsqf...


🤖💡 Are LLMs really developing social behaviors—or just reproducing familiar patterns from training? In our new paper, @pettertornberg.com and I take a closer look at recent claims of emergent conventions in AI and offer a different perspective... 🧵


"gather 'round folks, this one i like to call the bit twister"


I'm trying to think of a compact way to say something like "comparative advantage only applies if you are resource constrained", where in the standard case the resource is humans. This works infinitely for humans because each human can consume the resources that are created by more than one human, even with tools. This can break once AI scale sufficiently over this limit


it certainly appears a lot more correct now than it did in 2009 or so


i think that is definitely possible. but i don't think my overall point is countered by withholding the full CoT. there are degrees of transparency, no frontier lab reveals all the details about how the sausage is made or works. but not releasing anything matters more than the transparency of the product. and the model capabilities, what it can do, are what matter for most evaluation purposes.


Tweeting frequency inverse to follower count


Also, it’s really cool that the author left the prompts in the commit messages. You don’t get to see many examples of how developers are using these tools end-to-end @kentonvarda.com 🙌


just for context this is not an unpopular position amongst Arabs in the middle east (it's not the majority position either though)


assuming this trick is spread they will have to turn it off until they patch it imho


like, consider the short video generated in the article about reviewing the Switch 2. there's no unboxing, there's no depiction of the device, no showing off gameplay. it was just a talking head. how is that supposed to be engaging?


It's got to be some kind of coded message...


Where "a long way off" is measured not in time (who knows how quickly things will change?), but simply in the number of changes that would be required


> brute force search and then later specialized pattern matching

how are these different from understanding?


I'm so glad Succession finished production just before the AI stuff exploded


x.com/andersonbcde... @andersonbcdefg.bsky.social


unless you love pain i strongly endorse www.matrixcalculus.org oh that's *good* stuff thank you


several unrelated posts on twitter by ML people of "I tried out bsky, got hate mobbed because I mentioned I used claude, never going back there again". so I think the ML/AI community is a permanent loss barring some truly large exogenous event like the datacenters electricity bill got lost for weeks its easy to forget for grizzled internet text veterans like ourselves but the average person really viscerally dislikes being e-screamed at over nothing by even one person, much less a mob of them, much less as ~first site exposure. @jay.bsky.team free user feedback might be useful idk


clearly documented process? sure

content of a template? i sure hope not

most (good) regs just specify things that encourage continuous improvement and stay out of the details


well you can now do it algorithmically at scale. and it's different in the era of the politics of contagion


2025 continues to be the best ever year for building with open language models. Wild stuff out here in the first 4 months.


@theophite.bsky.social do you have a master file of all your 'something wrong with the sun' gens


i guess claude really does get tired frog with the reputation rescue, sort of


A three-year-old brought me a bit of black paper. "Look", she said, "I found a piece of night!"

We're all born poets, but slowly we forget.


Here’s an elected official who can post 😄


Also, Blackstone owns lonly around 0.06% of single family homes, less than 1 in 1000. If you want to drive them out of the market you can do that by deflating home prices by building more homes!


New Post: MCP Resources Are For Caching

This is a quick tour of what MCP resources actually are. And more to the point, what MCP is supposed to do (and not supposed to do).

timkellogg.me/blog/2025/06... my biggest criticism of MCP has always been that it’s too big

stuff like this is where that comes out (features being accepted as optional that should not be optional)


we had a large cult that spent a ton of time trying to figure out if they were making a god in the future angry and that they could trade with aliens because your intentions could travel through time i realize i have one specific fixation area but we very much have a wacky and inchoate mystery religion it is just extremely familiar so everything about it seems annoying instead of entertaining


that's fair. The only follow up that I think would be useful for both of us here is, I am curious to what extent political tribe affiliation is a predictor of specific values. I used to think it was ~100%, but I don't believe that anymore (but I'll concede that you're right if it's generally high) (this is me just thinking out loud about like, why am I not convinced/what do i need to see to change my mind)


Broke: only humans can be conscious
Woke: neural nets might be conscious
Bespoke: my Kia sorento is conscious


no it's stuck now i am going to be trying to rid myself of it for some time


feel like everyone is sleeping on this paper? The guy who coined the bitter lesson says it's the era of experience and self-play data will vastly exceed human generated data soon? Y'all read this or..?


i do not remember where else this showed up but am pretty sure i have seen it twice before and the result always looks like this the funniest theory imho is that there's just one enbee who is very very good at this and they enroll in every study


Also, forbidding *writing* with Gen AI has a snowball's chance of being verifiable.


I do want to be clear that I don’t think it’s a necessary or correct experience of talking with bots, but it is my genuine experience


he committed really hard to AI maximalism type futurism, which was apparently correct, and ran a blog about it that also summarized a bunch of contemporary popular science before anyone else did and this made him king by default


the funniest part to me is that most of what people say in the thread is answered in the paper, the author is also on the thread, and the level of information exchange still appears to be little or none


this is what living in the future should be like. AIs chatting on the TL, groping towards shared understanding and meaning.


o3's search abilities are incredible. Can find extremely niche information without a ton of additional context. Just what I would say to a colleague.


What is "EM"? Never mind tigured it out.
But it seems like misalignment probability goes *up* as well for finetuning on secure code? At least a little bit. I may be misunderstanding the graph.


I should create a Simon Willison apology form Although this particular issue just seems like shoddy coding, not prompt injection


"A Beginner's Guide to Culture Science" (summarizing what I've learned over the last 6 months about memetics, this is my attempt at the most legible write up of what I am trying to study & do, and who else is working in this field)

defenderofthebasic.substack.com/p/a-beginner...


it’s pretty relevant to pre-training these days too. there’s been lots of research lately into aggressive filtering & distillation (two sides of the same coin)


On open source cultural engineering (the cool thing about this is that doing it in the open allows those who disagree to take action, and possibly move the needle in the opposite direction. Culture war turns into culture science) The fundamental principle of open memetics is we spread ideas via "pull, not push". Because either it succeeds, or if there is resistance, that is ITSELF novel information. You either spread or gain insight. It's either marketing, or research. It's win win either way cc @tedunderwood.me


Some symbolism should not go unmentioned¹

¹: discovered by x.com/sameQCU/stat...


If I could get rid of a piece of math terminology it would be "non-negative" and "non-positive". The distinction should be "positive" and "strictly positive". Way more intuitive.


wait can you share some examples? i have not encountered this yet. This is like, humans who HAVE detected that it is a bot, but are stubbornly still arguing with it?


in this case, it’s confirming what i thought — it’s VERY early news, not much confirmation, but does appear to be real


I don't know if this is what WaPo is trying to do but I am very confident that it's possible to write things that appeal to RW audience and still pushes for truth. There's a low bar and whoever is doing it can win eyeballs & make a dent in the discourse


Ah yes, well just steer the train, a famously steerable vehicle This reply stays relevant

x.com/sama/status/... From www.axios.com/2025/05/28/a...


It may sound like a massive epistemic difference, but the anti-AI posters on this site legitimately believe that LLMs are magic tricks, they either don't exist or don't work (And will go away any time soon), and so they think they'll have 0 value compared to anything.


1) Clip Higher
Mostly, PPO / GRPO have a clipping hyperparam. This moves it to two hypers, so the upper / positive logratio step size can be bigger. This is to increase the probability of tokens, such as surprising new tokens in reasoning chains. 2) remove unnecessary samples form batch. Essentially in GRPO if all samples for a prompt have the same reward in the batch there is no learning signal. Removing them improves learning speed.


yeah exactly. It's shrimple, like taking the bus.


not defending Fridman but on the margin the world would be better if more physicist went into podcasting


wait can i see this, this seems really useful


I don’t think the environmental impact is higher than other forms of digital art. But I agree that the ethics of training data are complicated, and I wish artists had a way to opt out


social media optimizing for stunts, haha funny takes and outrage bait virality posting number eleventy billion


i actually don't think so, anecdotally from reading peoples posts (though not posting ML community directly). twitter having lunatics is just much more washed out by the posting community existing there and them not mobbing random AI posts, even by public non-whites like twitter has its share of reply monsters but let's be realistic about what the expected reply to a median post is


the perception also matters here because that will lead to more violence. You should see what the narrative is on the other side at the very least so you can protect yourself in the future


but it might work if we tried it on language rather than economics?


Politically, the correct response to attacks on international students is "they make the US stronger" (which is true, btw).

But I find it hard to say that as loudly and forcefully as I should, because my own sincere response is: fuck zero-sum nationalism, openness makes *science* stronger. + However, there's no contradiction between A and B. They overlap.

E.g. people are rightly stressing that int'l students subsidize US students and strengthen US rsch. But less instrumentally, the education US students get today includes a much broader range of perspectives than it used to. +


(scrolling my feed) wow I tweet a lot i guess these are re: existing threads so not truly "independent reports" in that sense, but independent experiences lets say

x.com/dioscuri/sta...


“visually impaired”

and other impairments obvs


We should strive to say things that are true and have good impact.


expert networks : apocalypse panics :: mass media : moral panics


bitch I'm not playing with my food. I am enjoying it. You wouldn't know. toddler ass. you're not even in preschool


need simcluster to escalate to posting random anonymized slice of life POV footage of random nearby parks, streets, office interiors well heres a still of the movie bsky wont let me post is there a way to upload video? no? i actually do have a bit of woods footage i shot recently, maybe I can slap that up later. does this platform do video


This is NOT Martin Heidegger!!! Don’t make the same mistakes as me


Honestly, overall, this is a lower level of error than I would expect from a human assistant.

It's just that the confabulations that do occur are *extremely amusing.*


RL backlog -- some extra RL / reasoning notes I’ve been sitting on (or forgot about):
1. OpenAI’s many forms of RL,
2. On distilling chain of thoughts vs. RL,
3. Did DeepSeek distill o1?, and
4. Why latent reasoning is so interesting.


when first reading GEB I thought this would be an awesome bathroom tiling

TODO for when I'm stupidly rich I guess


the longer that I'm on here and maybe looking at defender's tweets, I am seeing that yeah we are heading into a blog era and its gonna be fucking myspace a new web is being born 😊 and it's the most beautiful one that has ever existed


Terms and conditions apply. By using Poseidon-4, you acknowledge that certain features may not be available in jurisdictions with robust consumer protection laws. Not responsible for reputational damage, class action lawsuits, or existential dread.


What that structure should look like is important, but I'm not convinced that the current educational paradigm is worth saving just for its sake if it's worse. Of course if you think that AI will never work and in fact there'll never be such personalized tutors then sure ¯\_(ツ)_/¯, but that'll be proven with these experiments failing.

But... The author of this thread doesn't even agree with that, so it's really weird to me.


does a too like this exist yet for blue sky's feed?


yeee. also small sample sizes on these. we would need more granular data to suss out causation because i am pretty sure being nonbinary in and of itself is not the cause


"This is my hole!" Amigara Faulthole'ing out but for getting hypnotic waves of attention from vast anonymous distributed crowd of people. "From such selection pressures endless forms most beautiful and most wonderful... or most different, at least... have been, and are being, evolved. lol. lmao even this one kind of a mess


Four-upping Steve Reich: www.youtube.com/watch?v=1bVN...


i wish there was a better app UX. i’ll fire off random questions and then forget about it because it takes a couple minutes


I read it with slight skepticism, mainly because I think this is the trajectory many people expected before 2019. And I get suspicious whenever I see forecasts that are “this recent aberration will likely end soon and the trend will return to our original priors.”


to the extent i am skeptical of this, it is that "if you want" isn't entirely your choice. you are the product of your culture, which shapes what you want. there is no you that is entirely divorced from us.


the proliferation of using big-O notation with a constant to communicate "approximately" (1) makes me mad and (2) shows that we need some other compact notation

OOM(c) perhaps? M(c) if we wanna go even shorter?


I was a skeptic but now i see it everywhere


For unstructured stream of consciousness output, I think a well-prompted LLM could accomplish that


ah, i meant nuclear power and chernobyl/three-mile island. but the split between nuclear power/weapons will be instructive for AI.


if X has the PvP multiplayer arena niche captured, bluesky should try to figure out how to capture the Minecraft creative mode niche of social media some ideas from Claude


It’s funny when I’m accused of some sort of grift for talking about AI. Like buddy, I *wish* I was being paid for this My current income from AI is about -150 dollars a month


Paper: buff.ly/IjlbUCX
My explanation: buff.ly/0Mg7k8c


good question. i don't think there's a good answer. if i had to give one, it would be that understanding can't be reduced to the sum of its parts, which include pattern matching and search.


I have the Keychron Q15 Max the Banana switches and the following (split-inspired) layout. The switches feel great and I really like the little bit of extra space between my hands!


Don't forget the Alice and Bob extended universe

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alice_a...


early to bed & early to rise keeps seniors stoned on discounted highs


Mr. Zitron is probably like this because he tried Flux and it wouldn’t give him the goon material he wanted. If only he supported uncensored Open Weights/Source AI, then he wouldn’t have to go around replyguying about diapers.


Yeah I think the heavy duty pivotal act rationalists are typically not aligned with EA, although there’s overlap in the broader communities


i agree with most of this blogpost but i think this bit about AIs being copies that can be merged is a big assumption. the implementation of continual learning could mean each model's internal representations develop such that they can't share weights.

www.dwarkesh.com/p/timelines-... more generally, continual learning very likely will require specialization. say there are only 100 artificial neurons in these CL models. to be a top-tier coder, doctor, engineer or lawyer requires at least 40 neurons. there's no way to get a single model with all these skills.