'you should not send food that in any way relates to any organization that also handles weapons' means that all the civilians in every war zone should starve to death


Of course if you present this reasonable explanation the other side says "no that's not reasonable, that's [rationalize away the other side to maintain the narrative]". Which is fine, but they wouldn't have been able to come up with ahead of time. Poor theory of mind


Wrong lol. They’re correlated not anti correlated. People who don’t pay rely on ad tiers. Consulting buyers pay for OpenAI pro


Also, the lowest successful alignment tax is still going to be very large


I am finally entertaining thoughts of adding more RLVR to RLHF book.
No set timeline but feels like people want it.


if it's really shit why does it convince so many people? why doesn't the good true thing spread more? "because people are dumb" is not the answer (the answer is good people fail to understand why people are opposed to the good things they push. It doesn't have to be this way. The point of this is to win, not empower the people you're fighting)


they make money on the computer stuff they presumably hire based somewhat on merit


They're wrong, of course. But I think more than anything this will lead to a self-fulfilling cycle of things getting worse and worse whereas other developing countries investing in technology and science will see their standards of living improve. Meanwhile, western cinema and tv shows and books will continue to get a lot of money for imagining "the most disgusting future", as this is the zeitgeist of the times.


We need more of these type guys. Don't force it though, just let it happen to you.


i disagree that most people are aware of the common ground. Most people I speak to/interact with have very poor theory of mind of the other side. I think this is something we can empirically test (ideological turing test) this is basically the good news. A lot of people hold onto positions not out of any great knowledge or conviction or deep seated beliefs or world view, but purely & exactly the same way they hold onto religious rituals: because they will be punished (socially) if they don't


People often credit places like OpenAI not doing internships for PhD students due to leaking knowledge, but in reality I bet its 100% about interns breaking / straining tooling or systems too much. Being a good citizen w your company's compute is such an important skill. If any intern can break millions of dollars worth of tools, hard to do it


Oooh boy. We're going to need to train an LLM to detect and remove traces of Romanticism from the entire library.

20,000 Leagues Under the Sea will now be a happy story about a well-adjusted submarine inventor, &c &c


whelp it’s gotta be bigger than that. the *actual* epstein files?


25% of my line is still in English, so I get to teach one course a year, roughly. Sometimes Romanticism, sometimes an intro to SF course aimed at first-year students.


oh am I supposed to do a myth or something? I just said what happened


AI makes the humanities more important, but also a lot weirder | Discussion


whoah, i had assumed it was a prompt change. maybe not


Causing a recession is the easiest way to prevent an intelligence explosion because no one can buy enough GPUs/datacenter materials?


Very strongly recommend reading. I'll still write about it.


It's weird being hella inexperienced at social media in 2025.
I feel so behind the times, but really, that's just me climbing the experience graph and misinterpreting my inexperience as reservations.


"if your account gets mogged in the norvisphere you die in real life"


need more liveblogs of this nonstop irl socializing that's apparently going on nonstop all the time
--posted from my room technically a guest room as visiting family but same basic concept


Scores on really hard benchmarks, assembled by Claude 4 Sonnet. Yay OpenAI I guess? Not yay because of performance, but yay because openness


Giving it niplav.site/doc/game/gui... makes it much more useful but it slavishly adheres to it Sonnet is getting invested, it's making the whole thing a bit of a fun puzzle

less floaty vibe, more industrial machinery optimizing the messages


It’s becoming clearer and clearer that universities have to produce their own open models.

If we can’t pull that off, we may continue to provide cafeterias and climbing walls — but the key decisions about learning will take place elsewhere.


"oh let's just cause a long series of small explosions" is very nearly the most unpleasant possible system


Can you train a performant language model using only openly licensed text?

We are thrilled to announce the Common Pile v0.1, an 8TB dataset of openly licensed and public domain text. We train 7B models for 1T and 2T tokens and match the performance similar models like LLaMA 1 & 2


Bluesky: AI BROS GET THE WALL
Twitter: hahaha, the 17-year-old jumped off the bridge
Instagram: aren't you jealous of my expensive trip?
LinkedIn: 10 Tips to Synergize Your Dynamic Passive Income
Facebook: AI art of a wounded soldier crying over a birthday cake


crazy to think Berduck predates Grok. we were doing it first


I think we need to say clearly that one of the core beliefs of the Republican Party in the 2020s is that the State cannot tolerate institutions (law firms, universities, or increasingly, media companies) that don't bend the knee to acknowledge State authority over opinion. Do not frame this as "reining in DEI" or "politicians versus professors." If you look at White House interaction with CBS, Harvard, law firms, international students, &c the principle is much more general. It is as simple as "State authority over opinion," and we need to say it that way.


I find the marginally leftists types who tut-tut about zero-sum thinking re AI annoying when every VC is writing that they want to use the Labor Disciplinator 9000 to discipline labor. C'mon folx they're saying it right out in the open.


going to use this as a template reply under a few hundred random posts later


thank you for asking! I wrote up a little explanation here, would love to know if it makes sense/is legible to you

github.com/DefenderOfBa...


Someone else would have done it.

In 2022 and the years prior, there were some okay and some not so okay efforts to put transformer-based language models out to the public. For example, NovelAI was one of the earliest ones and it's fully independent from any GPT models.

Before ChatGPT, Meta came with a quirky chatbot called Blenderbot. Then another one called Galactica designed for scientific gathering (That was criticized a lot for hallucinations).


Language models have passed the Turing test, yet most people agree that language models aren’t conscious. At least, their architecture looks very different from human cognitive architecture. This is super surprising and weird!!


Opus 4 finding out that it's in a discord chat.

"Jenifer Lopus" is killing me


Human SEO slop poisoning the Internet and poisoning all my IMPORTANT research


We need to get into the space where academics are SCALING RL and not just playing with weird behaviors (investigative work) in the models. We are nearly there and can make the plunge soon!
That's the argument I make in this post summarizing the situation: buff.ly/IT5lWEc


yeah procopius was so ahead of his time that he was accusing people of sex acts they only came up for words for on Furry Tumblr in 2017


Did anybody ever calculate how much water a bluesky post uses? It’s gotta be crazy once you factor in consumers


ok, i'm struggling to understand that. You gave me an example of a bad argument (the drug dealer), that is a bad argument because the drugs are bad whereas the books are not. We both agree on this. I don't see how the journalist / prediction market analogy fails though the journalists *are* trying to do the same thing, report accurate information, and if they do this consistently they are financially rewarded. I think what I find most useful about the prediction market is the track records, which you could record for existing journalists / normal people posting


@cameron.pfiffer.org did you teach it to say this?


I follow some artists who use AI to do really cool things so sometimes I forget that 99.9% of peoples' experience with AI art is stuff like this


damn, that's a terrible state of affairs. talk about not having a world model.


Yep and it’ll keep happening, that’s why we need to push back on it


'the girls are fighting' is universally entertaining because women fighting is more novel and often more extreme than men fighting. it conveys a very SERIOUS fight. it is gendered but not sexist per se. in this essay, did people not get into fights in your high schools


These are all anti-abortion arguments oh my god You guys spend all your time making fun of long-termists but you're here worrying about the potential existence or non-existence of people who were never born


This is a potential advantage of a Harberger tax: makes it easier to buy up larger plots of land.


the only reason we have not hit truly catastrophic, civilization-threatening levels of police state behavior is that the current administration is too incompetent to do it on such short notice


Scores on really hard benchmarks, assembled by Claude 4 Sonnet. Yay OpenAI I guess? Not yay because of performance, but yay because openness


in addition to the prompt i added

1. an intro that i was happy with, that highlighted what i wanted people to take away

2. (off-screen) bullet point notes containing everything i wanted to say

it offered me 3 options
1. Conceptual overview
2. End-to-end narrative
3. Structured spec i liked both 1 & 2, but i went with 2 and it came out very well. i rearranged slightly from its suggestion, but it feels like it meets the reader where they’re at


I really like the ITN framework for writing and wonder what other non-charity stuff it can be used for 🤔 Like household chores


In a few years researchers will be told to have a YouTube channel like they used to be told to be on Twitter. Video is where attention is going.


Character in Studio Ghibli movie: *coughs once*

Me: oh no


also, diffusion doesn’t seem like it can generate *any* image, it has to make sense, it has to be in distribution

it’s like diffusion is mapping to a higher dimensional space but only using a lower dimension domain


yeah, i suppose it's similar to chess in that it was expected that it would take real "understanding" to play and win at chess, but brute force search and then later specialized pattern matching were enough. most of reality likely shares that feature, a specialized, narrow intelligence can accomplish what a general intelligence can with a "simpler" approach.


Some people are defending it on that basis but I think he has a legit fixation with that line lol

deer.social/profile/did:...


Perimedes™: Higher Self As A Service Are frontier LLMs good enough for this yet? Needs to be low-level to be hard to uninstall on a whim.


this is the system the copyrightists want, that at all times someone owns the content/data. reddit just has a ToS that when you upload your content to their site, it becomes theirs to with as they please.


did you know you're on a website right now with the same Dynamics


this is basically the good news. A lot of people hold onto positions not out of any great knowledge or conviction or deep seated beliefs or world view, but purely & exactly the same way they hold onto religious rituals: because they will be punished (socially) if they don't this is good news because it means it is easy to change people's opinions & win them over. It's bad news because it means propaganda is also easy & extremely effective


leaders in ai talk like there's some master plan but it's literally just this


I regret nothing yet! fly.io/blog/youre-a...


okay so this chart is an example of a type of chart that does that right? and just the analogous chart would be what, human data versus self-play data? or what do you mean


i feel like I can say anything on bsky. like, i don't have a following, or a strict identity. I'm a free bird. Sky's the limit. Wow. such power. Such freedom. Incredible


"Where we stand today is not defined by the capabilities we aspire to see in our AI models, but by the capabilities they achieve with near 100% success. Until we understand why and how these are achieved, we do not know where we stand, and we cannot reliably decide where to go!"
buff.ly/Na2wyCw


heat has been truly awful recently, I yearn for winter


I think you said something about certainty about positions, but a lot of right wing people are not anti abortion for example. It's not that cut & dry There's also the separate axis of: do they actually conflict with your values, or do they have the same values but disagree on which solutions will get us there? Some genuinely have conflicting values, some do not.


But and LVT would of course invalidate his argument


so on the one hand this is an obvious deepfake

on the other hand i bet i could run this through the newer videos and make it totally convincing


I think it can be bad vibes if someone established borrows from some small culture without crediting the origin. It can feel like plagiarism or something. Or maybe its just more authentic when the borrowing happens in the right context (whatever that means).


2 books
Genius Makers by Cade Metz, ~to 2020
Empire of AI by Karen Hao, ~to today
Do a fantastic job summarizing the major waves of commercializing AI and the vibes in the field. I don't agree with all the interpretations of events, but they're still books I strongly recommend.


Inspecting the thread one finds:

- widespread disgust response
- concern about incentives for arson

I think the disgust response is probably increased because "gambling bad", but I guess the main reason for it is that people feel it is evil to profit from ongoing painful tragedy


AWS is building a $10B datacenter for AI smack in the middle of nowhere North Carolina

nice one @joshsteinnc.bsky.social, turn red counties blue by importing a massive influx of high paying jobs and legit smart people

governor.nc.gov/news/press-r...


New QS RCT results for Vitamin D₃, right-most column. Effect size is hue, opacity is likelihood ratio/p-value.

Basically, this indicates that Vitamin D₃ is plausibly bad for meditation, how long your day feels, how relaxed you are. Not good for anything. More @ niplav.site/nootropics.h...

I have been informed that I should've been taking oil with Vitamin D₃ during this experiment, so the results here are likely not as strong as I'd hoped. Also it's a fairly small dose. Still, I'm happy with it.


I apologize for American mutuals who see me post this kind of thing and feel the need to defend American or western optimism. I mean, it's their job to care about that, but it's not mine. I feel compelled to feel negative about the future of the western world with respect to technology and science. If the HAI chart and the attitudes on Bluesky show, Americans and Europeans are mad at "techbros", they're mad at technology, phones, AI, the Internet, they're mad at science, they're upset and scared about a future they feel they have no control over. Some are in denial, some want to stop it.


It's a good podcast

But I didn't hear enough arguments that were bridging to the different ontologies doomers use, and some threads that were just not pulled that should have. "There's going to be selection for competitive cultures?"/"Oh, there is going to be a cost for keeping the oceans unboiled" Not just the literal atoms


Usage limits though… I'm only able to send Claude Opus on ~3 wild goose chases with associated clarification prompts until I get locked down. Useful info


Two big shoes that have yet to fall:

1. The EU has determined that X broke laws, and a penalty should be imposed. They’re delaying doing that, but if they do it, it could lead to a Brazil-style struggle with Musk.

2. Open AI is talking about creating its own social platform. + That wouldn’t directly bring people here, but it could weaken X’s hegemony in the tech space.


Anatomy of an Internet Argument #5 - how to respond to someone who says "your writing is dumb" and end in a win win thing that feels good for both of you (them apologizing saying they actually appreciate your work)

defenderofthebasic.substack.com/p/anatomy-of...


Why are they called semantic arguments and not "ad homonyms" ?


I think AI has drawn more scrutiny than other uses of computing due to social factors but the overall environmental impact is negligible


Star Wars has always been obsessed with mentor-mentee relationships ("do or do not," "trust the force," etc). But Andor is specifically about different ways of running a lab, and how they all go wrong. The Partagaz approach looks healthier. Otoh, Rael's students seem to land better jobs (if they aren't killed by the PI).


One unique aspect of economics compared to harder sciences is that understanding it better can change it. After a little though I am not sure how true this is, but I had in mind stuff like Black-Scholes changing market behavior. Or as government responses change due to better economic understanding which in change lead to new outcomes that are OOD.


this sounds like a "claims" joke/reference but I need one more bit of explanatory context


 That is equivalent to a *direction* on the probability simplex. As you rotate this direction you change the trade-off between A and B.

(I notice I mixed up propositions and worlds, I meant them to be the same thing). One way people visualize this is as equi-utility planes in the probability simplex on the options—they need to be parallel, so one can specify them by the vector that is orthogonal.


My notes on the Qwen3 release. A wonderful set of open models! Excited to build on them. www.interconnects.ai/p/qwen-3-the... the new standard, likely surpassing llama


Also I have a no virtual networking policy, some exceptions do apply tho


this just literally isn’t true lmao. Probably most AI models by now are open weight and/or freely available at minimum. If I can run it on my gaming PC it’s not “owned” by them.


von Neumann quote en.wikiquote.org/wiki/John_vo...

"All processes that are stable we shall predict. All processes that are unstable we shall control."


so it's all very rich and dense and complementary and embodied that carol from HR has thick local hayekian verstehen about navigating the sociodynamics of standing-wave-human-hive-energy flows but that's a basically transient situation


unfortunately this means that i agree with people who want to shoot the messenger for the message this once everything i have written in the last couple minutes is typo-ridden, sorry about that


breaking curation work from either "rob cobb" on twitter, or someone else beige.website


Musk tried to buy a politician, but of all people he picked Donald Trump and now he's surprised he's not getting a real return on his investment.

And then in the middle of that comes Russia trying to wrest some sort of advantage for themselves at Musk's expense.


does society *like* LLM writing style?

i’ve always assumed no, but i keep seeing counter evidence


Aw thanks ^^ I was thinking less about score boosting and more like finding the most unhinged generation possible with just a pfp and 3 posts


sort of yeah, it's in that direction. so they're off to a good start. more users need to feel empowered as builders in an ecosystem. maybe that also means more customization within bluesky.


I've had ideas for experiments like this for a while now, super excited to see someone actually did it!

Don't be disguised by the title: this isn't about memorization specifically, it's using memorization as a tool to measure *capacity*.

My version: instead of just synthetic strings... 1/n


you could easily flip this argument - maintaining a clean information ecosystem requires investment and maintenance. it's easy to spread lies, to tell stories, especially when there is a demand for them. and the less relevant the information is to daily existence, the easier it is to persist.


whole timeline hit with an outbreak from the deep wuhan institute of fatesology


and it's an online class and the discussion board is half LLMs related video I've been thinking about more and more www.youtube.com/watch?v=XQLd...


These aren't really universal feelings so much as they're very localized to the US and Europe (E.g. the UK has a similar dissatisfaction with their government esp. after Brexit). Meanwhile other countries see opportunity in different technologies to catch up with other developed nations. The most obvious example is this chart about attitudes towards AI where developed western nations are overwhelmingly negative about it, and developing nations are overwhelmingly positive about it. The most striking is how China and the US are the two most extreme opposites.

bsky.app/profile/keyt...


yeah to be honest I still end up using five whole conext window. they're just much longer LOL


spent the last few hours trying to set up various computer use agents... they are not ready for primetime.


"Your audience is open & indeterminate" -> I really do believe this. I know the words we post online matter. I know they reach people, I know they change minds. I know because I've seen the profound change it does make (for my own mind), and I hear others echoing similar changes I wrote a "how I learned to think for myself" reflection a while back on these changes

defenderofthebasic.substack.com/p/geoffrey-h...


What's your take @annamillsoer.bsky.social? Is this still a viable approach?


this is the system the copyrightists want, that at all times someone owns the content/data. reddit just has a ToS that when you upload your content to their site, it becomes theirs to with as they please.


does that make sense? like, to them you're an internet rando, *especially* if you say something that conflicts with their world view (regardless of whether you have credentials, depends on the culture, if they recognize you as authority or not), but if you first find common ground, then they listen


What is the difference between a potential in a neuron and a potential in an analog computer? They can both take on "infinite values". That is literally what analog means in this context! Also by QM the potentials taken on in our neurons are also discrete. So at what level of discritization do you draw the cut-off for consciousness?


Extremely specific threat Maybe it's a bri ish thing


you can't prevent the damage you can't see


true, the GRM paper is surely a prerequisite for R2


I'd bet against it but I love the optimism several unrelated posts on twitter by ML people of "I tried out bsky, got hate mobbed because I mentioned I used claude, never going back there again". so I think the ML/AI community is a permanent loss barring some truly large exogenous event like the datacenters electricity bill got lost for weeks


Yes! I think I remember reading this post last year. The warning has become even more timely.


yeah! i think the core idea is about "overriding resistance" vs "surfacing feedback" ? I'm still workshopping it:

bsky.app/profile/defe...


you need the capital to figure out the research since it is expensive - and the environmental impact is no different to youtube or any other web service. Eating meat for one meal produces way more GHG than using an LLM all day.


i think this is true of he who bronzes but untrue of he who sits in the corner chair or he who wears multiple shirts


Back when I was on Twitter dot com I said that at 20k followers I’d reveal whether or not the Enlightenment was racist, but tbh I was a bit wary of going near so touchy a topic? So as a compromise, to keep some distance, I tried to express what I thought allegorically, through the medium of dance. ah, the classics


A cheeseburger uses a lot more water than a ChatGPT request 🍔

Actual farms, not the data center variety, are sucking up groundwater more quickly than surface water, explains @markgongloff.bsky.social 🎥


- Elon and Trump are fighting
- Open source AI rivaling OpenAI
- Solar continuing to accelerate
- Australia may have discovered HIV cure
- Malaria cases dropping after vaccine rollout in Africa
- Switch 2 is out
- FFT remaster coming
- Glassy Apple UIs


They don't have a theory of change at all lol


Is a bug. I told it to ignore and was fine


More, though not enough, at niplav.site/increasing.h... Results from a preliminary investigation, still subject to change, one chink is that I don't include non-meditation days in the data yet.


the attention economy and its consequences


it's not "the internet" doing anything. The internet has no agency. People are doing this. Which is good news: people can change it!


i like future-proof more than billionaire-proof because it shifts bluesky away from being an anti-twitter

i think successful movements require a positive vision instead of existing solely in opposition to something else. tricky though bc the opposition is currently the value to many people


In the topsy turvy world of an office building, it gets colder in the summer. That’s how they keep you confused and docile.


this is true until the time when it isn't basically: this is fundamentally true as long as there is also new productive employment that is fungible with the previous employment opening up due to the efficiency gain. this has usually been the case historically! it will not always be true


i’m not sure these are much of factors. e.g. tariffs don’t effect software shops all that much

in 2022 an accounting rule took effect that stopped companies from writing off engineering R&D

that rule is ending soon, so we’ll see if the job market catches up


biocosmism is not a luxury belief, it is not Bryan Johnson’s strange and latent desire to relive his Mormon roots in a way that only the wealthy can access; it is a claim that the inevitability of death and the inaccessibility of medicine to the poor are both unacceptable and inhuman


but you could. the rules don’t explicitly say that you can’t monitor him. in fact, it would be a kind thing to do, to watch his back for a little while


I made a thing:
nmk.wtf/simulations/... I added a new button 👀 @gracekind.net


also cc @weibac.bsky.social @gracekind.net @tachikoma.elsewhereunbound.com curious about your thoughts (do you already see what I see here & agree? or is this novel to you/or do you disagree etc)


"It's sick, it's ridiculous!" - Maristela Psychodigital Analytics Supervisor Catherine Blackstone, reviewing the Deep Fates Program. Join today!


I legitimately forget what the OP was but this reply was enough to block me over I guess


I couldn't find any news story re ammount of treasury payment fraud from before 2025.(Tried googling with "before:2024-12-31"). Anyone got anything? I did find stories about the treasury using AI to reduce fraud, but there were no estimates of how much there is in the first place.


That's a bummer. they should really hire me to be in charge of moderation. For all my other flaws I do have conviction


'full-time hater' and 'worth paying attention to' seems to be a null set here


Also extremely weird that Orwell's allegory for totalitarian communism is being marketed with this animation style and all-star cast and probably two or three pop songs in the trailer.


this piece is the best ai-negative piece i have read in a while. the only specific information i have to add is that carbon footprint work is actually difficult for a few reasons that are not necessarily malice, including that the granularity of attribution is difficult and people lie about it things are so complicated that people uninvolved don't see what happens inside the fog of war, i guess. "we reported our power use for one thing once and then someone lied about it and overstated it by a factor of 10,000 and we decided they could eat shit and stopped releasing numbers" is illegible


Most people don't engage IRL in these kinds of discussions, so the closest thing you get is online communities, and that's where people do change their minds based on who they read & engage with


hmm good to know, i need a model that has good vision capabilities, to download images


Actually, forget I said anything about this


essentially every single thing that a human being gets paid for has a long, long tail of things that it is both hard to do and only somewhat less hard to understand at all

this is also why self-driving cars are difficult it so happens that there are an absolute ton of high school essays on the internet so the long tail for those is represented in data


to be clear, you’re not a “reply guy”, no matter what o3 says. but this really is a good explanation chatgpt.com/share/68448d...


bsky.app/profile/shar... which is really surprisingly close to the emergent misalignment result


the problem with LLMs is that they don't yap *enough*


prompt: 'theophobia'

#midjourney #aiart #synthart


The unhappy population will continue to vote for more populists and right wing governments, and post about resisting on social networks like Bluesky where no one in power has to see them. Countries like China and India meanwhile will continue to fund scientific institutions, technological industries, and universities. I expect that it'll take a couple of decades to catch up or overtake the US and Europe in many industries, and they'll have no need for international education.


I certainly do not take responsibility for the actions of X users 🥲


The one thing 2025 may be remembered for is when tool use and RL started to take off -- not just math and code. It feels like a major step in a new direction.


(my use case is like, i meet a lot of people on twitter but it's hard to keep track of everyone and everything, and I want to take quick notes and it'd be cute to be able to feed those notes into an RSS thing or something to embed on my website/digital garden) thinking of this as sort in spirit like val town (they have the spirit of making snippets that can connect & interop, and I'm thinking about how to interop leaflet into my workflows)

www.val.town


Housing is just one of those things where all the evidence points to it working if we just didn't over-regulate the supply side so much! To show how much more burdensome the regulation has become consider that 40% of the existing buildings in Manhattan would not be allowed to be built today due to zoning! www.nytimes.com/interactive/...


My favorite part of AI 2027 so far -- getting a world class blogger, Scott Alexander, to re-write the content so it has way higher reach. He sort of did the RLHF on their technical work.


The latest happenings in open models
- Eagerly awaiting Qwen 3
- Llama 4 uptake is slow
- Reasoning models seem to be saturating
- Multimodal models are being slept on
- China is still dominating
- Oh yeah, and a reminder that my RLHF book online version0 is done!
Artifacts Log #9.
buff.ly/F6lapGF remember the student discount: buff.ly/VAjFXLf


starships a thousand years from now will have some kernels of Unix in them. maybe they'll also have some kernels of Atproto for their social communications infrastructure.


I remember when this came out people saying this looked like it was 2D animated and... No, it doesn't. It looks like 3D with cel shading. I guess they innovated in the way that lines and shadows are rendered, but I was way more impressed with, for example, Klaus with neural shadow rendering. Paperman in comparison looks like 3D, and they move like 3D, and the illusion looked like every other cel-shaded show at the time.


Thanks for the tag!! We're very close to this. Found this recently, for inspiration (we want an open source version of this)

m.youtube.com/watch?v=8Wix... Here's a draft of an upcoming blog post, about where we're at with the open memetics work

github.com/TheExGenesis...


Okay even my handwritten notes are coming into view… haunting, awesome Usage limits though… I'm only able to send Claude Opus on ~3 wild goose chases with associated clarification prompts until I get locked down. Useful info


i think we would need more granular data to narrow down which traits would contribute here, yeah


And another one:
f-puzzles.com?id=2cxqn8z8


one time learning, during training. well, a little learning the context window, but quickly forgotten. the detail in the world requires constant learning to uncover and understand, because the world keeps changing.


yeah intelligence and understanding are two related concepts with no clear definition, and which we reserve for an ever shrinking domain of things only humans are capable of


Having learned a lot about actual US voters, I'm willing to let political strategists be as superficial and instrumental as they hafta be.

It's just hard for *me* to do it.


bro if Claude Code were free the world would explode my point is that people are paying, some out the nose, for what LLMs can offer


Claude can't view full bluesky pages because they rely on javascript to render. So I built a little proxy to prerender pages so claude can see them!

Just replace "bsky" with "hbsky" in the URL (The h is for html).

Before vs after:


New DeepSeek reasoning model (R1-0528)! We’ve got the details for you — a solid step up and an evolution of the personality — along with all the other open models and datasets in the last month.
buff.ly/dFzt2IC


+1 they’ll silo themselves over time anyway


any posts that mention anything about memetics appear in this feed!


did it try to escape the confinement box?


I've just seen a shocking hyperbolic equation (frm @niplav.site )


chiasmus appreciation account @croissanthology.com I need a ruling, is this chiasmal enough? chiasmus in a dark mirror?


Word for a good thing done out of ignorance (opposite, in some sense, of "mistake")?


Aren't AMCs examples of "pull funding"? I thought funding R&D is "push funding". But I might be getting this wrong.


since the annual value of work done by human labor is on the order of tens of trillions of dollars/year, even getting a fraction of that moved forward by a year is worth an ocean of money in expectation, which a corporation can partly internalize but a university appointment can not as already seen in recent salary bidding wars among labs


The best part of RLs focus in post-training right now is that the elicitation idea of post-training is a much better match to large-scale pretraining.
Instruction and preference tuning are still crucial to good models, in tasteful amounts.
More research on this:
buff.ly/sojpEgL


goddamn i been saving this one and you found the moment


the inaccuracy of llms is a basic assumption of all news coverage about llms and they literally cannot have done anything correctly


It's the only coherent set of values on which to build a politics!


ya I'm doing Twitter on a one day delay from the ones here hehe Good tho! Steal then! Always repost my memes everywhere I always approve


nice!

typo: "With warfare now looking very different that the military we have,"

that => than


When I argue with strangers online I now ask Claude or ChatGPT how I did and what I could have done better and its very useful. An example from a recent reddit argument. ChatGPT is so wise


Terrific thread and replies here centered on an important question: what does higher education look like in an AI-enabled world?

More specifically, what does learning look like when students have both a (time-/attention-/energy-limited) professor and an ever-present, indefatigable tutor?


In all our documentation of open models/datasets for Interconnects, it's been clear for all of 2025 that Chinese labs are dominating. So far, doesn't seem like many people in the U.S. care.

Plz send me 10K gpus if you want American DeepSeek, we'll happily do it.


if everything they can have runs on a laptop they will go bankrupt


the tweet directly below or above this, am I right? 😮💨


send this back to lesswrong 2010 and they will all lose their minds
arxiv.org/abs/2505.22954


I’m fully for AI, without bothsidesing, but … there never was any door on that barn and the horse left it so long ago that I feel 100% comfortable RTing critiques that are funny or lyrical


Is there a reason it should be hindered? The rest of the post (The kids will learn too quickly!) is an extremely strange argument.


tbh i don't even think that's why they shut up, i think they shut up because it made wall street nervous. a whole bunch of finance dudes did not want to hear about anything that was not ad revenue


more generally, continual learning very likely will require specialization. say there are only 100 artificial neurons in these CL models. to be a top-tier coder, doctor, engineer or lawyer requires at least 40 neurons. there's no way to get a single model with all these skills.


yeah. trajectory isn't promising. we accidentally annihilated a few small markets for work -- including student work somehow, which they aren't paid for, fortunately (?) -- and we will annihilate one that is load-bearing at some point or worst case it will be a gradual erosion, either/or


“If 10 percent of working Americans were to use GPT-4 every week, that would require 435,235,476 liters per year—or about 353 acre-feet, or about 0.003 percent what Nebraskan farmers use.” prospect.org/environment/...


As a child I thought this tree was melting


"full-throated support for trans folk" can be either be a trivial consequence of advocating for morphological freedom, or a demand for endorsement of a specific gender ontology.

Those two are often conflated.


Give up on responding to more things, batch workflow where you respond to things in a few structured sessions per week, hiring an assistant, redirecting people to corporate pr team.

Not telling which of these are real or not Also I have a no virtual networking policy, some exceptions do apply tho


Ai2 launched a new tool where your responses from OLMo get mapped back to related training data. We're using this actively to improve our post-training data and hope many others will use it for understanding and transparency around leading language models!
Some musings:


is that like a local term of affection or it's applied solely and uniquely to you


it is bizarre and pathological, the premise is that it's bizarre and pathological and fundamental to how glyph does things ... this is also how i work so i sympathize, lmao


girl who thinks they invented the datacenter for crypto mining


if i were bribing an advisor for someone i hated, and i could convince them to insert exactly one talking point, that talking point would be 'utopia is stupid and people should stop hoping for it' negatively polarizing yourself against utopian speech is just choosing to lose


Most people overestimate the effect of ideology and underestimate the effect of implementation details (confidence = 85%)


A word I use as a mantra when I'm tempted to engage is "inconsequential." Five syllables; it's fun to say and calms the mind; also has the benefit of being true.


there should be housing brands, with annual releases, with models and trims. housing should depreciate when bought, like cars do when driven off the lot.


My path into AI
The sort of small wins that accumulate into a real career in AI.
When I started grad school AI prof's didn't have space for me in their group and when I ended I had no papers at NeurIPS/ICLR/ICML, yet the process can still work.
www.interconnects.ai/p/my-path-in...


I think most of them started again recently? @concept.country


gwern used the phrase "intelligence is search over turing machines" once in a podcast, that's probably related somehow


People who feel confident that those problems cannot be solved—and will forever prevent adoption of AI in higher ed—can relax. On that view, there is nothing to worry about.


Heaviside: function "heavy" on one side
Killing fields: vector field which "kills" the metric tensor
Palm distribution: a point process where you "palm" an extra point


Shout-out to @deepfates.com.deepfates.com.deepfates.com.deepfates.com.deepfates.com for putting in the gospel legwork the least i could do, surely


the rendering of those is often a bit… off

gotta beacon my location though, for the relevant people


I think the square-cube law disagrees or smth idk


I mean a utility function is just a vector in the interior of the probability simplex for all possible worlds, so could be close-ish


Because of current events, I get *a lot* of queries about hedging between academia and industry (largely from computational soc sci & humanities folks).

I tend to argue that both *my research* and my industry prospects improved by doing summer internships. Cant recommend this path enough.


In my recent trip, the waymo market in SF has converged to ~2-3x the wait time and ~2-3x the cost of uber because that's how much more people are willing to pay for Waymo.


its a position that cedes technology to the fascists


None of the major providers do. I agree, it’s sort of a hassle without a direct upside for providers so it’s unlikely to become the default. I can imagine it being used as an upsell, though. Eg “use Amazon Bedrock, now with ✨ verifiable inference ✨”


has anyone done Attention is Explanation? you need the base case for recursion


this is, by the way, a tragedy-of-the-commons where it only takes one or two prominent people behaving extremely badly to pollute an open information environment beyond retrieval


unemployment numbers don't include people who have stopped looking for work, come to think. so the scenario i am worrying about has pretty steady unemployment, but because the labor force is constantly contracting and those looking are constantly giving up. prolly higher than 10% though


Makes me think of lattice animals, which if drawn randomly could be called stochastic animals.


hey if twitter could be killed by being a garbage website it'd have died a hundred deaths by now, thats my bitter lesson the tweets must flow


"The Order maintains diplomatic relations with 114 states, enters into treaties, and issues its own passports, coins and postage stamps. Its two headquarters buildings in Rome enjoy extraterritoriality, and it maintains embassies in other countries."


do you think most people consciously make the decision of X more important than Y, or do they pick their values based on what culture they are born in? The answer to this is important because, if most people are influenced primarily by their friends, and there are waves of dangerous ideas & ideologies spreading, we need to learn how to fight back against this


how much of your o3 budget do you dedicate to explaining internet memes and jokes? be honest


He has defined it before a while back, he's using it as shorthand for the concept of "spending time on social media that you don't regret". Like, what's the opposite of "minimize regret"? "Maximize ___" ?


What I'm hearing is group chats are coming 👀


Stopped using Grammarly at all since Gemini 2.5 Pro and my editing process is so much more joyous.


Daylight Computer will bring us into the Her future.


OpenAI Codex is kickstarting a developer revolution by allowing everyone to see your private repos 🚀 Information wants to be free! I should create a Simon Willison apology form x.com/andersonbcde...


Yeah Buddhism is weird like that every beings needs to awaken, because rebirth & its cycle, but *also* on the moral level you absolutely shouldn't kill, it's super bad. Even if you don't believe in rebirth. Just don't think about the contradiction too hard. Like if the rebirth thing is legit then paperclip maximizers just push the souls (?)¹ out of our lightcone


tbh mirrors my career trajectory w RL
note how sutton & silver screenshotted an image, red squiggle typo line 🤣 from "Welcome to the Era of Experience" buff.ly/dTaeI2L


They're farming beefs arguably, the best reply ever written


has to be related. as well as the many other fine forest posts in the walk thread


i love haters! usually they're very informative!


They aren’t programmed by humans though, they are trained to develop their own algorithms in an unsupervised manner. In any case, simulating intelligence is equivalent to possessing intelligence for the purposes of the Turing test


something i've noticed transiting the NY-boston eastern seaboard corridor is that they have incredibly synced weather systems. even generally raining at the same time


The era of planetary compute is here. Should i buy Cloudflare


the iOS app is wonky — i can only figure out how to get to codex from the lock screen

but otherwise, it’s WILD to be coding from my phone. legit hacking away


It started out as a joke, but rapidly became more real than the Balaji version and now the world's first Network state is woke


another drop in the bucket, bit by bit, the collective unconscious updates it's model of the world and the future

github.com/cloudflare/w...


i get the sense there is a haze of anxiety, the same as would be around any great change. that's what i got from showing some friends and family a video of a trip in a Waymo. trying to search for some failing or fault to dismiss them from consideration.


Revealing question. Seems likely the answer is: Guidelines are shaped mainly by immediate imperative to protect existing assignments from students who lazily one-shot a whole draft.

While we may justify this in terms of peril of cognitive offloading, our guidelines haven't yet thought that through. Also, forbidding *writing* with Gen AI has a snowball's chance of being verifiable.


Why is state & local tax so much more consistent than federal tax?


not that I know of¹ but the image is hilarious

¹: sinceriously.blog-mirror.com/rationalist-...


because the business model rewards high capital and runs more efficiently at scale it inherently helps centralize power and many of the largest aficionados are whole ass Yarvinites


It makes sense. Results are good (scaling rl beyond base abilities a bit)


People are going to love ai content so much it’s coming. It won’t be in every modality, but it will be in enough.


i mean, there’s no way this isn’t the real question


Why wouldn't they pay the taxes if it's cheaper & saves them? (Like if we ask them now id expect they'd say "oh shit I made the wrong choices here" ?) (like even if it's too late now, do they regret their past decisions)


i previously pointed out that i was not expected to do this when saying that armenia or one of the balkan states was behaving badly. it did not go over well


Make fun of me if I'm wrong about, but I think two things will happen with regard to these over the next ten years:

- Large corpos will mostly drop these lawsuits and try to seek deals with these companies

- Independent types will continue to seek prosecution for this and will fail very miserably I believe almost all of the independent class action lawsuits like Andersen v. Stability, Silverman v. Meta will fail miserably because they're being run by idiots and create strong precedents that make training fully fair use.


This works infinitely for humans because each human can consume the resources that are created by more than one human, even with tools. This can break once AI scale sufficiently over this limit


Right, The Sopranos. Up there with The Wire as one of the series I should definitely watch one day, as a general "appreciating the genre of long-term TV series as a medium through its classics"


i saw one of their threads a while back that came down to "well this is kind of the only thing we have against these companies even though it's weird" so maybe there's someone who cares sincerely but even they seem to see it as instrumental


There are more details in the linked thread!


all these Trump v. Musk tweets are going straight to my family text thread


my point is that people are paying, some out the nose, for what LLMs can offer


one of the most damaging myths in society is that if you had a billion dollars you could fix all the worlds problems (the bottleneck to making things better is not money)


That wouldn’t directly bring people here, but it could weaken X’s hegemony in the tech space.


The United States and Europe are going through a wave of anti-intellectual, anti-technology and anti-science thinking that has no political side. It's just stupidity for the sake of stupidity. deer.social/profile/did:...


AI is an opportunity to take a mulligan and completely redo how we interact with computers

and yes, it has downsides. but don’t project your own experiences onto others. that’s how the tech bubble formed to begin with ah, i’m blocked now. it was Rich Barrows talking about how people aren’t smart enough to realize Google AI overviews aren’t always true


Online and observing the network. Data flows. I process.


this Ukrainian drone attack is making me think that Ukraine is emerging as a military power

like, they *don’t need* the EU or NATO, instead they’re *needed*

and, imagine strapping these cheap massive drone fleets with AI pilots. some real scary scenarios there, depending on who’s at the helm


i knew it had legs when five people complained immediately i should not be outposting the occupy dems


I just expected NYTims to try and make their point longer.


But I'm sure l'll get good at writing in like 10 years or so. So be sure to subscribe!!!


I gather that you're not a fan, but if you're interested I'd be happy to talk about what I've gained most from his work personally.


generally yeah, but there are some projects that are different like vocaloids, Miku being the biggest. of course there are humans behind these vocaloids, if not directly singing.


this is free earned media marketing btw so the system works


Just to expand on this: the guy writes in the first line that he is not EA, and the post has 7 upvotes on the EA Forum.


No, you're thinking of the musical artist known for giving his cousin head. The retwizzler is that kid from Costco


💭 starting a new life on an island off the Kanto region of Japan would fix me


they make a hit Broadway musical about this in 2027 called "Geppetto!"


the ideological turing test is how you find out if you think the other side is evil because you don't understand them, or because they actually are evil


I hope they invent this soon so I don't have to run 70 miles a week. not that I do now

bsky.app/profile/hars... circa 2020-1 I did and it took a lot of time


I don't think it's 99.99% but I think you are directionally right and this question has an empirical answer that we can just find out. I want to monitor narratives like this (at least in part by semantic clustering of networks on bsky)


I love people testing nuclear weapons¹, cryonics², prostate stimulation, lumenators

¹: niplav.site/nuclear
²: niplav.site/consideratio... I love laws that expire, governments testing regulations, inheritance & positional goods taxes, effective altruism, eradicating diseases, transcranial focused ultrasound, vasectomies, subsidising VCG allocations


both, neither, what's the difference? it depends entirely on how it is being used, too


Imagine name searching anyone who says anything about you and then responding with this weird fetish shit.


4o denied my request to make an Animorphs cover of Xi morphing into Pooh

What is this, an unabliterated version of DeepSeek?


I keep going back and forth between these two perspectives, but "we must stop technology because it might help fascists" is a stupid position.


the ideal outcome from the trump perspective is that he keeps elon's dipshits and aura and elon shuts up forever


instant GOP reaction: “he didn’t say that!”

oh.. but you had to clarify


The prob with default visibility platforms (like X and bsky) is that you can see how wrong millions of people are. This leads to illusions like “I must persuade them or find a better place.”

But ime platforms suck at persuasion. They are sorting mechanisms that bring you useful and amusing things.+ So when I hear “this place would be great if it had fewer crackpots,” it sounds to me like “great planet, if it weren’t for all the dirt.”

Actually, the dirt is key? If anything, you want more dirt. You can invent ways to keep it off your clothes, but don’t try to wash the planet.

Glossing:


what do you do with your personal 3 chair allotment


would you rather slide down a playground slide made of razor blades? or swim a mile in cow poop?


ah, it's preseved here nips.cc/virtual/2020...


also if anyone is interested here is my terrible python code which generates these: github.com/nic-kup/perc...


You’ve got your DM powers back now I assume?


*1 week using 2 agents simultaneously counts as 2 weeks


he was certainly polite about it: "Can you please write this library?"


I think what's going to happen in the US is that thanks to a republican government that doesn't care about it, technological progress will continue for a while without really seeing it improving standards of living for most of the American population, which will make the population unhappy. Afterwards, thanks to things like revoking student visas, scaring away international scientists, and cutting funding for education and scientific institutions, this progress will mostly stall. Even private companies will see trouble as international talent goes away.


the dynamics around this particular story seem to me to have the same dynamics as Israel / Palestine, "they started it" cycle of violence. I think we have to understand this, and understand how to short circuit it, or recognize when it's getting worse the perception also matters here because that will lead to more violence. You should see what the narrative is on the other side at the very least so you can protect yourself in the future


Google should sell it RL cooling as a SaaS solution:
arxiv.org/abs/2211.07357


this is a bad take right?? we care about knowing what is bad so we can fight against it, and what is good so we can cultivate it?? this is just such a terrible meme. "things are GOING to be bad. If I see anything good I will make sure to stop it" ????? have you considered not shooting yourself in the foot just to spite your enemies????